Correlation Between Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Prosperity Bancshares with a short position of National Bankshares. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares.

Diversification Opportunities for Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares

0.86
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Prosperity and National is 0.86. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Bankshares and Prosperity Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Prosperity Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with National Bankshares. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Bankshares has no effect on the direction of Prosperity Bancshares i.e., Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Prosperity Bancshares is expected to generate 0.78 times more return on investment than National Bankshares. However, Prosperity Bancshares is 1.28 times less risky than National Bankshares. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Bankshares is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  7,238  in Prosperity Bancshares on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,179  from holding Prosperity Bancshares or generate 16.29% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Prosperity Bancshares  vs.  National Bankshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Prosperity Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Prosperity Bancshares are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat fragile fundamental drivers, Prosperity Bancshares sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
National Bankshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Bankshares are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak basic indicators, National Bankshares demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares

The main advantage of trading using opposite Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Prosperity Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, National Bankshares can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Bankshares will offset losses from the drop in National Bankshares' long position.
The idea behind Prosperity Bancshares and National Bankshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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