Correlation Between Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Prosperity Bancshares with a short position of Farmers Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants

0.97
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Prosperity and Farmers is 0.97. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Farmers Merchants Bancorp and Prosperity Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Prosperity Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Farmers Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Farmers Merchants Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Prosperity Bancshares i.e., Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Prosperity Bancshares is expected to generate 1.47 times less return on investment than Farmers Merchants. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Prosperity Bancshares is 1.34 times less risky than Farmers Merchants. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Farmers Merchants Bancorp is currently generating about 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,737  in Farmers Merchants Bancorp on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  455.00  from holding Farmers Merchants Bancorp or generate 16.62% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Prosperity Bancshares  vs.  Farmers Merchants Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Prosperity Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Prosperity Bancshares are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat fragile fundamental drivers, Prosperity Bancshares may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in January 2025.
Farmers Merchants Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Farmers Merchants Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile basic indicators, Farmers Merchants displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Prosperity Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, Farmers Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Farmers Merchants will offset losses from the drop in Farmers Merchants' long position.
The idea behind Prosperity Bancshares and Farmers Merchants Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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