Correlation Between Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Nestl SA with a short position of MGP Ingredients. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients.

Diversification Opportunities for Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients

-0.86
  Correlation Coefficient

Pay attention - limited upside

The 3 months correlation between Nestl and MGP is -0.86. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on MGP Ingredients and Nestl SA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Nestl SA are associated (or correlated) with MGP Ingredients. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of MGP Ingredients has no effect on the direction of Nestl SA i.e., Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nestl SA is expected to generate 0.53 times more return on investment than MGP Ingredients. However, Nestl SA is 1.89 times less risky than MGP Ingredients. It trades about 0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. MGP Ingredients is currently generating about -0.16 per unit of risk. If you would invest  7,960  in Nestl SA on December 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,640  from holding Nestl SA or generate 20.6% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Nestl SA  vs.  MGP Ingredients

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Nestl SA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Nestl SA are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile basic indicators, Nestl SA reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
MGP Ingredients 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days MGP Ingredients has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in April 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders.

Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients

The main advantage of trading using opposite Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Nestl SA position performs unexpectedly, MGP Ingredients can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MGP Ingredients will offset losses from the drop in MGP Ingredients' long position.
The idea behind Nestl SA and MGP Ingredients pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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