Correlation Between Heritage Financial and First Guaranty

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Heritage Financial and First Guaranty at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Heritage Financial and First Guaranty into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Heritage Financial and First Guaranty Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Heritage Financial and First Guaranty and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Heritage Financial with a short position of First Guaranty. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Heritage Financial and First Guaranty.

Diversification Opportunities for Heritage Financial and First Guaranty

0.77
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Heritage and First is 0.77. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Heritage Financial and First Guaranty Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on First Guaranty Bancshares and Heritage Financial is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Heritage Financial are associated (or correlated) with First Guaranty. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of First Guaranty Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Heritage Financial i.e., Heritage Financial and First Guaranty go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Heritage Financial and First Guaranty

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Heritage Financial is expected to generate 1.22 times more return on investment than First Guaranty. However, Heritage Financial is 1.22 times more volatile than First Guaranty Bancshares. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. First Guaranty Bancshares is currently generating about 0.15 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,166  in Heritage Financial on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  462.00  from holding Heritage Financial or generate 21.33% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy98.44%
ValuesDaily Returns

Heritage Financial  vs.  First Guaranty Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Heritage Financial 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Heritage Financial are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat conflicting basic indicators, Heritage Financial sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
First Guaranty Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

12 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Guaranty Bancshares are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly unsteady fundamental drivers, First Guaranty demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Heritage Financial and First Guaranty Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Heritage Financial and First Guaranty

The main advantage of trading using opposite Heritage Financial and First Guaranty positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Heritage Financial position performs unexpectedly, First Guaranty can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Guaranty will offset losses from the drop in First Guaranty's long position.
The idea behind Heritage Financial and First Guaranty Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.

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