Correlation Between Federated Ultrashort and California Bond

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Federated Ultrashort and California Bond at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Federated Ultrashort and California Bond into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Federated Ultrashort Bond and California Bond Fund, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Federated Ultrashort and California Bond and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Federated Ultrashort with a short position of California Bond. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Federated Ultrashort and California Bond.

Diversification Opportunities for Federated Ultrashort and California Bond

-0.21
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Federated and California is -0.21. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Federated Ultrashort Bond and California Bond Fund in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on California Bond and Federated Ultrashort is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Federated Ultrashort Bond are associated (or correlated) with California Bond. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of California Bond has no effect on the direction of Federated Ultrashort i.e., Federated Ultrashort and California Bond go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Federated Ultrashort and California Bond

Assuming the 90 days horizon Federated Ultrashort Bond is expected to generate 0.32 times more return on investment than California Bond. However, Federated Ultrashort Bond is 3.12 times less risky than California Bond. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. California Bond Fund is currently generating about -0.04 per unit of risk. If you would invest  920.00  in Federated Ultrashort Bond on November 29, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  9.00  from holding Federated Ultrashort Bond or generate 0.98% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthInsignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Federated Ultrashort Bond  vs.  California Bond Fund

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Federated Ultrashort Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federated Ultrashort Bond are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Federated Ultrashort is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
California Bond 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days California Bond Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong fundamental drivers, California Bond is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Federated Ultrashort and California Bond Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Federated Ultrashort and California Bond

The main advantage of trading using opposite Federated Ultrashort and California Bond positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Federated Ultrashort position performs unexpectedly, California Bond can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in California Bond will offset losses from the drop in California Bond's long position.
The idea behind Federated Ultrashort Bond and California Bond Fund pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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