Correlation Between First Northwest and Farmers Merchants

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Northwest and Farmers Merchants at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Northwest and Farmers Merchants into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Northwest Bancorp and Farmers Merchants Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Northwest and Farmers Merchants and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Northwest with a short position of Farmers Merchants. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Northwest and Farmers Merchants.

Diversification Opportunities for First Northwest and Farmers Merchants

0.54

Correlation Coefficient

First Northwest  Farmers Merchants

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Farmers is 0.54. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Northwest Bancorp and Farmers Merchants Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Farmers Merchants Bancorp and First Northwest is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Northwest Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with Farmers Merchants. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Farmers Merchants Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Northwest i.e., First Northwest and Farmers Merchants go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Northwest and Farmers Merchants

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Northwest is expected to generate 12.11 times less return on investment than Farmers Merchants. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, First Northwest Bancorp is 1.02 times less risky than Farmers Merchants. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Farmers Merchants Bancorp is currently generating about 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,737  in Farmers Merchants Bancorp on September 14, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  455.00  from holding Farmers Merchants Bancorp or generate 16.62% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	98.44%
Values	Daily Returns

First Northwest Bancorp  vs.  Farmers Merchants Bancorp

First Northwest Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days First Northwest Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, First Northwest is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Farmers Merchants Bancorp

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

Good

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Farmers Merchants Bancorp are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very fragile basic indicators, Farmers Merchants displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with First Northwest and Farmers Merchants

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Northwest and Farmers Merchants positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Northwest position performs unexpectedly, Farmers Merchants can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Farmers Merchants will offset losses from the drop in Farmers Merchants' long position.

The idea behind First Northwest Bancorp and Farmers Merchants Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.