Correlation Between CF Industries and Carsales

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both CF Industries and Carsales at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining CF Industries and Carsales into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between CF Industries Holdings and CarsalesCom Ltd ADR, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on CF Industries and Carsales and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in CF Industries with a short position of Carsales. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of CF Industries and Carsales.

Diversification Opportunities for CF Industries and Carsales

0.29
  Correlation Coefficient

Modest diversification

The 3 months correlation between CF Industries and Carsales is 0.29. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding CF Industries Holdings and CarsalesCom Ltd ADR in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on CarsalesCom ADR and CF Industries is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on CF Industries Holdings are associated (or correlated) with Carsales. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of CarsalesCom ADR has no effect on the direction of CF Industries i.e., CF Industries and Carsales go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between CF Industries and Carsales

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon CF Industries Holdings is expected to under-perform the Carsales. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, CF Industries Holdings is 1.49 times less risky than Carsales. The stock trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The CarsalesCom Ltd ADR is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,550  in CarsalesCom Ltd ADR on December 25, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (367.00) from holding CarsalesCom Ltd ADR or give up 8.07% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

CF Industries Holdings  vs.  CarsalesCom Ltd ADR

 Performance 
       Timeline  
CF Industries Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days CF Industries Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.
CarsalesCom ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days CarsalesCom Ltd ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Carsales is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

CF Industries and Carsales Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with CF Industries and Carsales

The main advantage of trading using opposite CF Industries and Carsales positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if CF Industries position performs unexpectedly, Carsales can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Carsales will offset losses from the drop in Carsales' long position.
The idea behind CF Industries Holdings and CarsalesCom Ltd ADR pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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