Correlation Between Commerce Bancshares and Business First

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Commerce Bancshares and Business First at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Commerce Bancshares and Business First into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Commerce Bancshares and Business First Bancshares, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Commerce Bancshares and Business First and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Commerce Bancshares with a short position of Business First. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Commerce Bancshares and Business First.

Diversification Opportunities for Commerce Bancshares and Business First

0.88
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Commerce and Business is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Commerce Bancshares and Business First Bancshares in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Business First Bancshares and Commerce Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Commerce Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with Business First. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Business First Bancshares has no effect on the direction of Commerce Bancshares i.e., Commerce Bancshares and Business First go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Commerce Bancshares and Business First

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Commerce Bancshares is expected to generate 2.1 times less return on investment than Business First. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Commerce Bancshares is 1.48 times less risky than Business First. It trades about 0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Business First Bancshares is currently generating about 0.03 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  2,190  in Business First Bancshares on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  682.00  from holding Business First Bancshares or generate 31.14% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Commerce Bancshares  vs.  Business First Bancshares

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Commerce Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Commerce Bancshares are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly fragile basic indicators, Commerce Bancshares demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Business First Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

9 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Business First Bancshares are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively unfluctuating basic indicators, Business First unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Commerce Bancshares and Business First Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Commerce Bancshares and Business First

The main advantage of trading using opposite Commerce Bancshares and Business First positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Commerce Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, Business First can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Business First will offset losses from the drop in Business First's long position.
The idea behind Commerce Bancshares and Business First Bancshares pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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