Correlation Between Byline Bancorp and BancFirst

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Byline Bancorp and BancFirst at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Byline Bancorp and BancFirst into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Byline Bancorp and BancFirst, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Byline Bancorp and BancFirst and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Byline Bancorp with a short position of BancFirst. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Byline Bancorp and BancFirst.

Diversification Opportunities for Byline Bancorp and BancFirst

0.95
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between Byline and BancFirst is 0.95. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Byline Bancorp and BancFirst in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on BancFirst and Byline Bancorp is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Byline Bancorp are associated (or correlated) with BancFirst. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of BancFirst has no effect on the direction of Byline Bancorp i.e., Byline Bancorp and BancFirst go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Byline Bancorp and BancFirst

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Byline Bancorp is expected to generate 1.38 times less return on investment than BancFirst. In addition to that, Byline Bancorp is 1.0 times more volatile than BancFirst. It trades about 0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. BancFirst is currently generating about 0.13 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  10,387  in BancFirst on August 31, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2,349  from holding BancFirst or generate 22.61% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Byline Bancorp  vs.  BancFirst

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Byline Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Byline Bancorp are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly inconsistent basic indicators, Byline Bancorp showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
BancFirst 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in BancFirst are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly inconsistent basic indicators, BancFirst reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Byline Bancorp and BancFirst Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Byline Bancorp and BancFirst

The main advantage of trading using opposite Byline Bancorp and BancFirst positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Byline Bancorp position performs unexpectedly, BancFirst can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BancFirst will offset losses from the drop in BancFirst's long position.
The idea behind Byline Bancorp and BancFirst pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

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