Correlation Between Bumi Serpong and City Retail

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Bumi Serpong and City Retail at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Bumi Serpong and City Retail into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Bumi Serpong Damai and City Retail Developments, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Bumi Serpong and City Retail and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Bumi Serpong with a short position of City Retail. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Bumi Serpong and City Retail.

Diversification Opportunities for Bumi Serpong and City Retail

0.75
  Correlation Coefficient

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Bumi and City is 0.75. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Bumi Serpong Damai and City Retail Developments in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on City Retail Developments and Bumi Serpong is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Bumi Serpong Damai are associated (or correlated) with City Retail. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of City Retail Developments has no effect on the direction of Bumi Serpong i.e., Bumi Serpong and City Retail go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Bumi Serpong and City Retail

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bumi Serpong Damai is expected to under-perform the City Retail. In addition to that, Bumi Serpong is 4.2 times more volatile than City Retail Developments. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. City Retail Developments is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of volatility. If you would invest  14,500  in City Retail Developments on September 12, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (1,500) from holding City Retail Developments or give up 10.34% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthSignificant
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Bumi Serpong Damai  vs.  City Retail Developments

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Bumi Serpong Damai 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Bumi Serpong Damai has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.
City Retail Developments 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days City Retail Developments has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest conflicting performance, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain persistent and the latest mess on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-standing gains for the company institutional investors.

Bumi Serpong and City Retail Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Bumi Serpong and City Retail

The main advantage of trading using opposite Bumi Serpong and City Retail positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Bumi Serpong position performs unexpectedly, City Retail can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in City Retail will offset losses from the drop in City Retail's long position.
The idea behind Bumi Serpong Damai and City Retail Developments pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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