Correlation Between Small Cap and Dreyfus Natural

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Small Cap and Dreyfus Natural at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Small Cap and Dreyfus Natural into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Small Cap Value and Dreyfus Natural Resources, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Small Cap and Dreyfus Natural and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Small Cap with a short position of Dreyfus Natural. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Small Cap and Dreyfus Natural.

Diversification Opportunities for Small Cap and Dreyfus Natural

0.49
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Small and Dreyfus is 0.49. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Small Cap Value and Dreyfus Natural Resources in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Dreyfus Natural Resources and Small Cap is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Small Cap Value are associated (or correlated) with Dreyfus Natural. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Dreyfus Natural Resources has no effect on the direction of Small Cap i.e., Small Cap and Dreyfus Natural go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Small Cap and Dreyfus Natural

Assuming the 90 days horizon Small Cap Value is expected to under-perform the Dreyfus Natural. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Small Cap Value is 1.18 times less risky than Dreyfus Natural. The mutual fund trades about -0.36 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dreyfus Natural Resources is currently generating about -0.3 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  4,289  in Dreyfus Natural Resources on October 5, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (529.00) from holding Dreyfus Natural Resources or give up 12.33% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Small Cap Value  vs.  Dreyfus Natural Resources

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Small Cap Value 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Small Cap Value has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, Small Cap is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
Dreyfus Natural Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Dreyfus Natural Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Fund's fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2025. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the fund investors.

Small Cap and Dreyfus Natural Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Small Cap and Dreyfus Natural

The main advantage of trading using opposite Small Cap and Dreyfus Natural positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Small Cap position performs unexpectedly, Dreyfus Natural can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dreyfus Natural will offset losses from the drop in Dreyfus Natural's long position.
The idea behind Small Cap Value and Dreyfus Natural Resources pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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