Correlation Between Sumber Alfaria and Provident Agro

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Sumber Alfaria and Provident Agro at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Sumber Alfaria and Provident Agro into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between Sumber Alfaria Trijaya and Provident Agro Tbk, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Sumber Alfaria and Provident Agro and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Sumber Alfaria with a short position of Provident Agro. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Sumber Alfaria and Provident Agro.

Diversification Opportunities for Sumber Alfaria and Provident Agro

0.5

Correlation Coefficient

Sumber Alfaria  Provident Agro

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Sumber and Provident is 0.5. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Sumber Alfaria Trijaya and Provident Agro Tbk in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Provident Agro Tbk and Sumber Alfaria is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Sumber Alfaria Trijaya are associated (or correlated) with Provident Agro. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Provident Agro Tbk has no effect on the direction of Sumber Alfaria i.e., Sumber Alfaria and Provident Agro go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Sumber Alfaria and Provident Agro

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sumber Alfaria Trijaya is expected to generate 1.17 times more return on investment than Provident Agro. However, Sumber Alfaria is 1.17 times more volatile than Provident Agro Tbk. It trades about -0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Provident Agro Tbk is currently generating about -0.17 per unit of risk. If you would invest  285,000  in Sumber Alfaria Trijaya on November 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (62,000) from holding Sumber Alfaria Trijaya or give up 21.75% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya  vs.  Provident Agro Tbk

Sumber Alfaria Trijaya

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Sumber Alfaria Trijaya has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Provident Agro Tbk

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Provident Agro Tbk has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking signals remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2025. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors.

Pair Trading with Sumber Alfaria and Provident Agro

The main advantage of trading using opposite Sumber Alfaria and Provident Agro positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Sumber Alfaria position performs unexpectedly, Provident Agro can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Provident Agro will offset losses from the drop in Provident Agro's long position.

The idea behind Sumber Alfaria Trijaya and Provident Agro Tbk pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.