Correlation Between High-yield Municipal and Federal National

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both High-yield Municipal and Federal National at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining High-yield Municipal and Federal National into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between High Yield Municipal Fund and Federal National Mortgage, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on High-yield Municipal and Federal National and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in High-yield Municipal with a short position of Federal National. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of High-yield Municipal and Federal National.

Diversification Opportunities for High-yield Municipal and Federal National

0.33

Correlation Coefficient

High-yield Municipal  Federal National

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between High-yield and Federal is 0.33. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding High Yield Municipal Fund and Federal National Mortgage in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Federal National Mortgage and High-yield Municipal is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on High Yield Municipal Fund are associated (or correlated) with Federal National. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Federal National Mortgage has no effect on the direction of High-yield Municipal i.e., High-yield Municipal and Federal National go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between High-yield Municipal and Federal National

Assuming the 90 days horizon High Yield Municipal Fund is expected to under-perform the Federal National. But the mutual fund apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, High Yield Municipal Fund is 32.96 times less risky than Federal National. The mutual fund trades about -0.02 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Federal National Mortgage is currently generating about 0.18 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  339.00  in Federal National Mortgage on December 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  357.00  from holding Federal National Mortgage or generate 105.31% return on investment over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Very Weak
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

High Yield Municipal Fund  vs.  Federal National Mortgage

High Yield Municipal

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days High Yield Municipal Fund has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, High-yield Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Federal National Mortgage

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Federal National Mortgage are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unfluctuating primary indicators, Federal National sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

Pair Trading with High-yield Municipal and Federal National

The main advantage of trading using opposite High-yield Municipal and Federal National positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if High-yield Municipal position performs unexpectedly, Federal National can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Federal National will offset losses from the drop in Federal National's long position.

The idea behind High Yield Municipal Fund and Federal National Mortgage pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.