Gaucho Group Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VINO Stock | USD 0.08 0.63 88.73% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gaucho Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be -1.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.22. Gaucho Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Gaucho Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Gaucho Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Gaucho Group fundamentals over time.
Gaucho |
Gaucho Group Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Gaucho Group's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2013-12-31 | Previous Quarter 254.7 K | Current Value 469 K | Quarterly Volatility 955.5 K |
Gaucho Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Gaucho Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be -1.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gaucho Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gaucho Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gaucho Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gaucho Group | Gaucho Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gaucho Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gaucho Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3535 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3151 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.2161 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.2191 |
Predictive Modules for Gaucho Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gaucho Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gaucho Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gaucho Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gaucho Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gaucho Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gaucho Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gaucho Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gaucho Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gaucho Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gaucho Group Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gaucho Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gaucho Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gaucho Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gaucho stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.38 | |||
| Variance | 107.67 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Gaucho Group
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Gaucho Group position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Gaucho Group will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Gaucho Stock
Moving against Gaucho Stock
| 0.58 | OZ | Belpointe PREP LLC | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | CBL | CBL Associates Properties | PairCorr |
| 0.44 | IRS | IRSA Inversiones Y | PairCorr |
| 0.34 | ZG | Zillow Group | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Gaucho Group could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Gaucho Group when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Gaucho Group - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Gaucho Group Holdings to buy it.
The correlation of Gaucho Group is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Gaucho Group moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Gaucho Group Holdings moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Gaucho Group can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gaucho Group. If investors know Gaucho will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gaucho Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (123.88) | Revenue Per Share 4.351 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) | Return On Assets (0.41) | Return On Equity (2.57) |
The market value of Gaucho Group Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gaucho that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gaucho Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gaucho Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gaucho Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gaucho Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gaucho Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gaucho Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gaucho Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.