Tango Therapeutics Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TNGX Stock  USD 3.10  0.16  5.44%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tango Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 2.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.47. Tango Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Tango Therapeutics' Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 0.15 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 4.23 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 62.8 M in 2024. Net Loss is likely to rise to about (92.5 M) in 2024.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Tango Therapeutics' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
66.4 M
Current Value
70.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
33.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Tango Therapeutics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Tango Therapeutics value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Tango Therapeutics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tango Therapeutics on the next trading day is expected to be 2.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tango Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tango Therapeutics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tango Therapeutics Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tango Therapeutics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tango Therapeutics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tango Therapeutics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.99, respectively. We have considered Tango Therapeutics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.10
2.21
Expected Value
8.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tango Therapeutics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tango Therapeutics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.6933
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3847
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0939
SAESum of the absolute errors23.4669
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Tango Therapeutics. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Tango Therapeutics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Tango Therapeutics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tango Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.163.2710.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.336.6913.48
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.0217.6019.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tango Therapeutics. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tango Therapeutics' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tango Therapeutics' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tango Therapeutics.

Other Forecasting Options for Tango Therapeutics

For every potential investor in Tango, whether a beginner or expert, Tango Therapeutics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tango Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tango. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tango Therapeutics' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tango Therapeutics Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tango Therapeutics' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tango Therapeutics' current price.

Tango Therapeutics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tango Therapeutics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tango Therapeutics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tango Therapeutics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tango Therapeutics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tango Therapeutics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tango Therapeutics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tango Therapeutics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tango stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Tools for Tango Stock Analysis

When running Tango Therapeutics' price analysis, check to measure Tango Therapeutics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tango Therapeutics is operating at the current time. Most of Tango Therapeutics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tango Therapeutics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tango Therapeutics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tango Therapeutics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.