Rimini Street Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

RMNI Stock  USD 2.11  0.05  2.31%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rimini Street on the next trading day is expected to be 2.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.47. Rimini Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rimini Street's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Rimini Street's Fixed Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Rimini Street's current Asset Turnover is estimated to increase to 1.41, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 9.44. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 62.7 M. The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (3 M).

Rimini Street Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Rimini Street's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2012-12-31
Previous Quarter
134.6 M
Current Value
119.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
55.4 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Rimini Street is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Rimini Street value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Rimini Street Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rimini Street on the next trading day is expected to be 2.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rimini Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rimini Street's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rimini Street Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Rimini StreetRimini Street Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Rimini Street Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rimini Street's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rimini Street's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.63, respectively. We have considered Rimini Street's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.11
2.14
Expected Value
5.63
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rimini Street stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rimini Street stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.8357
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0569
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0304
SAESum of the absolute errors3.4735
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Rimini Street. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Rimini Street. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Rimini Street

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rimini Street. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.165.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.596.08
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.644.004.44
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Rimini Street

For every potential investor in Rimini, whether a beginner or expert, Rimini Street's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rimini Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rimini. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rimini Street's price trends.

Rimini Street Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rimini Street stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rimini Street could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rimini Street by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rimini Street Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rimini Street's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rimini Street's current price.

Rimini Street Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rimini Street stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rimini Street shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rimini Street stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rimini Street entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rimini Street Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rimini Street's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rimini Street's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rimini stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Rimini Street offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Rimini Street's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rimini Street Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rimini Street Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rimini Street to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Rimini Stock please use our How to Invest in Rimini Street guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rimini Street. If investors know Rimini will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rimini Street listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.83)
Earnings Share
(0.38)
Revenue Per Share
4.734
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.03)
Return On Assets
0.0689
The market value of Rimini Street is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rimini that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rimini Street's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rimini Street's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rimini Street's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rimini Street's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rimini Street's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rimini Street is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rimini Street's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.