Jutal Offshore Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

JUTOY Stock  USD 19.10  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jutal Offshore Oil on the next trading day is expected to be 18.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.72. Jutal Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Jutal Offshore is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Jutal Offshore Oil value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Jutal Offshore Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jutal Offshore Oil on the next trading day is expected to be 18.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jutal Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jutal Offshore's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jutal Offshore Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Jutal Offshore Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jutal Offshore's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jutal Offshore's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.44 and 21.34, respectively. We have considered Jutal Offshore's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
19.10
18.89
Expected Value
21.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jutal Offshore pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jutal Offshore pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.901
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1921
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0108
SAESum of the absolute errors11.7178
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Jutal Offshore Oil. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Jutal Offshore. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Jutal Offshore

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jutal Offshore Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.6519.1021.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.1921.7124.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.0319.0319.03
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jutal Offshore

For every potential investor in Jutal, whether a beginner or expert, Jutal Offshore's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jutal Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jutal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jutal Offshore's price trends.

Jutal Offshore Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jutal Offshore pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jutal Offshore could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jutal Offshore by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jutal Offshore Oil Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jutal Offshore's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jutal Offshore's current price.

Jutal Offshore Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jutal Offshore pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jutal Offshore shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jutal Offshore pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Jutal Offshore Oil entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jutal Offshore Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jutal Offshore's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jutal Offshore's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jutal pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Jutal Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Jutal Offshore's price analysis, check to measure Jutal Offshore's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jutal Offshore is operating at the current time. Most of Jutal Offshore's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jutal Offshore's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jutal Offshore's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jutal Offshore to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.