Swiftmerge Acquisition Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| IVCP Stock | USD 10.50 2.20 17.32% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Swiftmerge Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 9.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.54. Swiftmerge Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Swiftmerge Acquisition's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Swiftmerge Acquisition's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Swiftmerge Acquisition fundamentals over time.
Swiftmerge |
Swiftmerge Acquisition Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Swiftmerge Acquisition's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 148.3 K | Current Value 140.9 K | Quarterly Volatility 268.1 K |
Swiftmerge Acquisition Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Swiftmerge Acquisition Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 9.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Swiftmerge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Swiftmerge Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Swiftmerge Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Swiftmerge Acquisition | Swiftmerge Acquisition Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Swiftmerge Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Swiftmerge Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.876 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0908 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0084 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.5411 |
Predictive Modules for Swiftmerge Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swiftmerge Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Swiftmerge Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Swiftmerge Acquisition Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Swiftmerge Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Swiftmerge Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Swiftmerge Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Swiftmerge Acquisition Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Swiftmerge Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Swiftmerge Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Swiftmerge Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Swiftmerge Acquisition Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Swiftmerge Acquisition Risk Indicators
The analysis of Swiftmerge Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Swiftmerge Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting swiftmerge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7007 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.75 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Swiftmerge Acquisition
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Swiftmerge Acquisition position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Swiftmerge Acquisition will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.The ability to find closely correlated positions to Swiftmerge Acquisition could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Swiftmerge Acquisition when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Swiftmerge Acquisition - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Swiftmerge Acquisition Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Swiftmerge Acquisition is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Swiftmerge Acquisition moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Swiftmerge Acquisition moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Swiftmerge Acquisition can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Swiftmerge Stock Analysis
When running Swiftmerge Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Swiftmerge Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swiftmerge Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Swiftmerge Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swiftmerge Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swiftmerge Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swiftmerge Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.