Ikigai Ventures Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

IKIV Stock   46.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ikigai Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 46.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Ikigai Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Ikigai Ventures is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Ikigai Ventures value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Ikigai Ventures Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ikigai Ventures on the next trading day is expected to be 46.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ikigai Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ikigai Ventures' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ikigai Ventures Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ikigai Ventures Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ikigai Ventures' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ikigai Ventures' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46.50 and 46.50, respectively. We have considered Ikigai Ventures' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
46.50
46.50
Expected Value
46.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ikigai Ventures stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ikigai Ventures stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Ikigai Ventures. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Ikigai Ventures. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Ikigai Ventures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ikigai Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.5046.5046.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.5046.5046.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ikigai Ventures

For every potential investor in Ikigai, whether a beginner or expert, Ikigai Ventures' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ikigai Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ikigai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ikigai Ventures' price trends.

Ikigai Ventures Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ikigai Ventures stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ikigai Ventures could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ikigai Ventures by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ikigai Ventures Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ikigai Ventures' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ikigai Ventures' current price.

Ikigai Ventures Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ikigai Ventures stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ikigai Ventures shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ikigai Ventures stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ikigai Ventures entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Ikigai Stock Analysis

When running Ikigai Ventures' price analysis, check to measure Ikigai Ventures' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ikigai Ventures is operating at the current time. Most of Ikigai Ventures' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ikigai Ventures' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ikigai Ventures' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ikigai Ventures to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.