G-Tec Jainx Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GTECJAINX   34.09  1.26  3.56%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of G Tec Jainx Education on the next trading day is expected to be 37.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.82. G-Tec Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of G-Tec Jainx's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, G-Tec Jainx's Accounts Payable is decreasing as compared to previous years. The G-Tec Jainx's current Non Current Assets Total is estimated to increase to about 16.8 M, while Total Assets are projected to decrease to under 54.7 M.
A naive forecasting model for G-Tec Jainx is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of G Tec Jainx Education value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

G-Tec Jainx Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of G Tec Jainx Education on the next trading day is expected to be 37.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69, mean absolute percentage error of 0.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.82.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict G-Tec Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that G-Tec Jainx's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

G-Tec Jainx Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest G-Tec JainxG-Tec Jainx Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

G-Tec Jainx Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting G-Tec Jainx's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. G-Tec Jainx's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.07 and 40.74, respectively. We have considered G-Tec Jainx's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.09
37.90
Expected Value
40.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of G-Tec Jainx stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent G-Tec Jainx stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0712
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6855
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0203
SAESum of the absolute errors41.8176
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of G Tec Jainx Education. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict G-Tec Jainx. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for G-Tec Jainx

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as G Tec Jainx. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.1934.0236.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.1333.9636.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.1632.5135.87
Details

Other Forecasting Options for G-Tec Jainx

For every potential investor in G-Tec, whether a beginner or expert, G-Tec Jainx's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. G-Tec Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in G-Tec. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying G-Tec Jainx's price trends.

G-Tec Jainx Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with G-Tec Jainx stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of G-Tec Jainx could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing G-Tec Jainx by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

G Tec Jainx Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of G-Tec Jainx's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of G-Tec Jainx's current price.

G-Tec Jainx Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how G-Tec Jainx stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading G-Tec Jainx shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying G-Tec Jainx stock market strength indicators, traders can identify G Tec Jainx Education entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

G-Tec Jainx Risk Indicators

The analysis of G-Tec Jainx's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in G-Tec Jainx's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting g-tec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in G-Tec Stock

G-Tec Jainx financial ratios help investors to determine whether G-Tec Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in G-Tec with respect to the benefits of owning G-Tec Jainx security.