Globalink Investment Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

GLLIUDelisted Stock  USD 10.32  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Globalink Investment Unit on the next trading day is expected to be 9.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.63. Globalink Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Globalink Investment is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Globalink Investment Unit value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Globalink Investment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Globalink Investment Unit on the next trading day is expected to be 9.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Globalink Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Globalink Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Globalink Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

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Globalink Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Globalink Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Globalink Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.68 and 11.33, respectively. We have considered Globalink Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.32
9.50
Expected Value
11.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Globalink Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Globalink Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.1845
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1251
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0112
SAESum of the absolute errors7.6318
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Globalink Investment Unit. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Globalink Investment. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Globalink Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Globalink Investment Unit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.5010.3212.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.319.1310.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.3210.3210.32
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Globalink Investment

For every potential investor in Globalink, whether a beginner or expert, Globalink Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Globalink Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Globalink. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Globalink Investment's price trends.

Globalink Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Globalink Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Globalink Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Globalink Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Globalink Investment Unit Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Globalink Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Globalink Investment's current price.

Globalink Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Globalink Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Globalink Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Globalink Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Globalink Investment Unit entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Globalink Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Globalink Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Globalink Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting globalink stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Globalink Investment to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

Other Consideration for investing in Globalink Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Globalink Investment Unit check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Globalink Investment's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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