Hafnia Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

1OQ Stock  EUR 4.98  0.28  5.96%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hafnia Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 4.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.96. Hafnia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Hafnia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Hafnia is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hafnia Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hafnia Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hafnia Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 4.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Hafnia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Hafnia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Hafnia Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hafnia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hafnia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7585
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1468
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0278
SAESum of the absolute errors8.9576
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hafnia Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hafnia. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hafnia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hafnia Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.014.989.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.224.339.30
Details

Hafnia Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Hafnia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Hafnia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hafnia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Hafnia Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Hafnia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Hafnia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Hafnia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Hafnia Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Hafnia Risk Indicators

The analysis of Hafnia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Hafnia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting hafnia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Hafnia Stock

When determining whether Hafnia Limited offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hafnia's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hafnia Limited Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hafnia Limited Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hafnia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hafnia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hafnia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.