Triumph Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TFINP Stock | 23.65 0.02 0.08% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Triumph Financial is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Triumph Financial within the specified time frame.
Check out Triumph Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Triumph Stock, please use our How to Invest in Triumph Financial guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Triumph and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Triumph Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Triumph |
Execute Triumph Financial Buy or Sell Advice
The Triumph recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Triumph Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Triumph Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Triumph Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Triumph Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Bares Capital Management Inc. Sells 251,476 Shares of Triumph Financial, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Triumph Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Triumph Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Triumph Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Triumph Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Triumph Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Triumph Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Triumph Financial.
| Mean Return | 0.10 | Value At Risk | -1.5 | Potential Upside | 1.81 | Standard Deviation | 1.07 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Triumph Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Triumph Financial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (37.1M) | 116.5M | 68.8M | 25.0M | (121.5M) | (115.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 51.1M | 79.8M | 122.6M | 63.6M | 16.2M | 15.4M | |
| Depreciation | 17.3M | 19.1M | 22.9M | 25.2M | 25.3M | 13.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 75K | (11.6M) | (19.1M) | (31.2M) | 6.1M | 6.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 21.3M | 17.6M | 14.4M | 10.9M | 27.0M | 28.3M | |
| Net Income | 58.5M | 64.0M | 113.0M | 102.3M | 41.1M | 51.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 197.9M | 314.4M | 383.2M | 408.2M | 286.6M | 223.8M | |
| Investments | 90.5M | 33.7M | 41.4M | 672.4M | (37.5M) | (35.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 135.8M | (132.1M) | (72.5M) | (178.9M) | (161.0M) | (153.0M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 7.5M | (9.2M) | (5.8M) | (12.7M) | (11.4M) | (10.8M) |
Triumph Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Triumph Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Triumph Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Triumph stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Triumph Financial Volatility Alert
Triumph Financial has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.84 and kurtosis of 1.89. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Triumph Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Triumph Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Triumph Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Triumph Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Triumph Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Triumph Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Triumph Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Triumph Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Triumph Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Triumph Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Triumph Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0252 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0038 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 332.9 M | 16.62 B |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.41 K | 4.71 M |
| Revenue | 424.94 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 477.63 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 37.88 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 41.08 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 405.42 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 36.02 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 43.2 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.15 X | 4.00 X |
| Number Of Employees | 1.54 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.19 | -0.15 |
| Total Asset | 5.35 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 536.33 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.07 % | |
| Net Asset | 5.35 B |
Note: Acquisition by Gail Lehmann of 1463 shares of Triumph Financial subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Triumph Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Triumph . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 16.67 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23.67 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
About Triumph Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Triumph Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Triumph Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Additional Tools for Triumph Stock Analysis
When running Triumph Financial's price analysis, check to measure Triumph Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triumph Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Triumph Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triumph Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triumph Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triumph Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.