San Miguel (Philippines) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SMC Stock   94.22  0.90  0.06%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding San Miguel Corp is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides San Miguel buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SMC positions.
  
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as San and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. San Miguel Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute San Miguel Buy or Sell Advice

The San recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on San Miguel Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in San Miguel Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute San Miguel's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell San MiguelBuy San Miguel
Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon San Miguel Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0035, Jensen Alpha of (0.01), Total Risk Alpha of 0.3975 and Treynor Ratio of (0.19)

San Miguel Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

San Miguel Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
San Miguel Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance

San Miguel Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of San Miguel's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of San Miguel's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of San Miguel daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use San Miguel Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of San Miguel returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for San Miguel.
Mean Return
-0.02
Value At Risk
-3.08
Potential Upside
4.89
Standard Deviation
3.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of San Miguel historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

San Miguel Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to San Miguel or San sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that San Miguel's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a San stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
3.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

San Miguel Volatility Alert

San Miguel Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.08 and kurtosis of 22.81. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure San Miguel's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact San Miguel's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

San Miguel Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as San . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

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