Penn National (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PN1 Stock  EUR 20.17  0.09  0.45%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Penn National Gaming is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Penn National buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PN1 positions.
  
Check out Penn National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Penn and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Penn National Gaming. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Penn National Buy or Sell Advice

The Penn recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Penn National Gaming. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Penn National Gaming or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Penn National's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Penn NationalBuy Penn National
Strong Sell

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Penn National Gaming has a Mean Deviation of 1.97, Semi Deviation of 2.08, Standard Deviation of 2.64, Variance of 6.95, Downside Variance of 5.29 and Semi Variance of 4.33
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Penn National. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Penn National is not overpriced, please check all Penn National Gaming fundamentals, including its price to book, revenue, and the relationship between the price to earning and price to sales .

Penn National Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Penn National Gaming has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Penn National Gaming has accumulated 6.69 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 577.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Penn National Gaming has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Penn National until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Penn National's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Penn National Gaming sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Penn to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Penn National's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 87.0% of Penn National shares are owned by institutional investors

Penn National Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Penn National's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Penn National's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Penn National daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Penn National Gaming price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Penn National returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Penn National.
Mean Return
0.29
Value At Risk
-3.71
Potential Upside
4.62
Standard Deviation
2.64
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Penn National historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Penn National Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Penn National or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Penn National's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Penn stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
2.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Penn National Volatility Alert

Penn National Gaming currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Penn National's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Penn National's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Penn National Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Penn National's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Penn National's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Penn National and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Penn National or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Penn National's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Penn National by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Penn National to competition
FundamentalsPenn NationalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0576-0.31
Return On Asset0.0413-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.18 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation15.57 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding156.94 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.71 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.96 %39.21 %
Price To Earning21.34 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.48 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.76 X11.42 X
Revenue6.4 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.02 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.5 B3.9 B
Net Income222.1 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents400.28 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.43 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.69 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity577.00 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.78 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share23.66 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations878.2 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.14 X3.12 X
Target Price98.49
Number Of Employees21.88 K18.84 K
Beta2.23-0.15
Market Capitalization4.56 B19.03 B
Total Asset17.5 B29.47 B
Net Asset17.5 B

Penn National Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Penn . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Penn National Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Penn National Gaming? Buying financial instruments such as Penn Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Penn Stock

When determining whether Penn National Gaming offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Penn National's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Penn National Gaming Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Penn National Gaming Stock:
Check out Penn National Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Penn National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Penn National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Penn National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.