On24 Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ONTF Stock  USD 6.61  0.03  0.46%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding ON24 Inc is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides ON24 buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ON24 positions.
  
Check out ON24 Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as ON24 and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. ON24 Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute ON24 Buy or Sell Advice

The ON24 recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on ON24 Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in ON24 Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute ON24's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ON24Buy ON24
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon ON24 Inc has a Mean Deviation of 1.64, Semi Deviation of 1.95, Standard Deviation of 2.2, Variance of 4.83, Downside Variance of 4.3 and Semi Variance of 3.8
We provide trade recommendation to complement the latest expert consensus on ON24 Inc. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available right now. To make sure ON24 Inc is not overpriced, please check all ON24 Inc fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, number of employees, and the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that ON24 Inc has a number of shares shorted of 336.92 K, we recommend you to check out ON24 market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the future given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

ON24 Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 163.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (51.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.48 M.
ON24 Inc currently holds about 344.87 M in cash with (12.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.26, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
ON24 Inc has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 4383 shares by Steven Vattuone of ON24 at 6.2861 subject to Rule 16b-3

ON24 Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of ON24's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of ON24's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of ON24 daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use ON24 Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of ON24 returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for ON24.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-3.03
Potential Upside
3.04
Standard Deviation
2.20
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of ON24 historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

ON24 Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Jacobs Levy Equity Management, Inc.2024-09-30
375 K
Circumference Group Llc2024-09-30
340.2 K
Horrell Capital Management, Inc.2024-09-30
340.2 K
Palogic Value Management Lp2024-09-30
331.8 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
297.7 K
Oak Hill Investment Management, L.p.2024-09-30
283.3 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
282.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
267 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
251.7 K
Lynrock Lake Lp2024-09-30
7.3 M
Indaba Capital Management, Llc2024-06-30
4.2 M
Note, although ON24's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

ON24 Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Investments(3M)2M(215.6M)(82.8M)108.9M114.3M
Change In Cash12.0M39.4M106.7M(137.9M)26.1M27.4M
Net Borrowings2.2M(1.1M)(24.9M)(2.1M)(1.9M)(2.0M)
Free Cash Flow(12.5M)36.5M1.6M(24.2M)(14.4M)(13.7M)
Depreciation2.3M3.0M4.6M5.4M5.4M4.2M
Other Non Cash Items6.9M11.2M15.8M18.5M14.3M12.3M
Capital Expenditures1.2M1.0M3.6M3.7M2.2M2.8M
Net Income(17.5M)20.8M(24.3M)(58.2M)(51.8M)(49.2M)
End Period Cash Flow18.9M58.3M165.0M27.2M53.3M60.5M
Change To Netincome2.6M6.0M29.1M37.5M43.1M45.2M

ON24 Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to ON24 or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that ON24's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a ON24 stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.69
σ
Overall volatility
2.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

ON24 Volatility Alert

ON24 Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.01 and Jensen Alpha of -0.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure ON24's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact ON24's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

ON24 Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing ON24's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze ON24's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between ON24 and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as ON24 or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of ON24's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ON24 by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare ON24 to competition
FundamentalsON24Peer Average
Return On Equity-0.24-0.31
Return On Asset-0.11-0.14
Profit Margin(0.29) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.35) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation89.83 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding41.65 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders11.00 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions71.09 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted336.92 K4.71 M
Price To Book1.67 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.83 X11.42 X
Revenue163.71 M9.43 B
Gross Profit138.48 M27.38 B
EBITDA(45.34 M)3.9 B
Net Income(51.79 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents344.87 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.26 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.39 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.46 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.92 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(12.2 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio3.36 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.04) X3.12 X
Target Price7.67
Number Of Employees46218.84 K
Beta0.48-0.15
Market Capitalization275.31 M19.03 B
Total Asset280.3 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(305.51 M)9.33 B
Working Capital157.7 M1.48 B
Net Asset280.3 M
Note: Disposition of 4383 shares by Steven Vattuone of ON24 at 6.2861 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

ON24 Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as ON24 . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About ON24 Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell ON24 Inc? Buying financial instruments such as ON24 Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having ON24 in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Toys Thematic Idea Now

Toys
Toys Theme
Companies producing and distributing toys and different gaming products for kids. The Toys theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Toys Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether ON24 Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze ON24's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ON24's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ON24 Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out ON24 Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ON24. If investors know ON24 will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ON24 listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.04)
Revenue Per Share
3.615
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Return On Equity
(0.24)
The market value of ON24 Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ON24 that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ON24's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ON24's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ON24's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ON24's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ON24's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ON24 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ON24's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.