Newgen Software (India) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NEWGEN Stock   1,130  12.55  1.10%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Newgen Software Technologies is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Newgen Software buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NEWGEN positions.
  
Check out Newgen Software Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Newgen and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Newgen Software Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Newgen Software Buy or Sell Advice

The Newgen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Newgen Software Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Newgen Software Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Newgen Software's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Newgen SoftwareBuy Newgen Software
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Newgen Software Technologies has a Mean Deviation of 2.58, Semi Deviation of 3.42, Standard Deviation of 3.57, Variance of 12.72, Downside Variance of 12.98 and Semi Variance of 11.7
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Newgen Software Tech to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Newgen Software. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Newgen Software Tech is not overpriced, please verify all Newgen Software Technologies fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, and the relationship between the net income and beta .

Newgen Software Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Newgen Software Tech had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Newgen Software Tech is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Newgen Software Technologies sees 6.86 percent stock price growth, outperforms sector by 3.21 percent - MarketsMojo

Newgen Software Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Newgen Software's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Newgen Software's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Newgen Software daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Newgen Software Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Newgen Software returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Newgen Software.
Mean Return
0.20
Value At Risk
-5.19
Potential Upside
5.58
Standard Deviation
3.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Newgen Software historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Newgen Software Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(43.5M)49.0M(148.6M)(47.4M)(42.7M)(40.5M)
Change In Cash(576.4M)(283.6M)318.6M44.5M165.5M173.8M
Free Cash Flow462.6M2.0B1.3B1.2B2.7B2.8B
Depreciation199.1M201.0M176.3M246.7M279.7M293.7M
Other Non Cash Items(16.8M)(65.5M)(135.9M)(173.8M)(141.2M)(134.2M)
Dividends Paid251.7M139.9M244.5M314.8M349.6M178.8M
Capital Expenditures437.9M117.1M126.9M167.7M138.1M221.0M
Net Income947.4M1.8B2.0B2.2B2.5B1.3B
End Period Cash Flow1.0B717.5M1.0B1.1B1.2B848.4M
Investments(669.0M)(1.4B)(805.9M)(943.0M)(2.2B)(2.1B)
Net Borrowings155.7M(198.9M)(889.9M)(133.0M)(119.7M)(125.6M)
Change To Netincome192.2M63.3M460.0M80.9M93.0M121.8M

Newgen Software Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Newgen Software or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Newgen Software's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Newgen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.93
σ
Overall volatility
3.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Newgen Software Volatility Alert

Newgen Software Technologies shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Newgen Software's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Newgen Software's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Newgen Software Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Newgen Software's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Newgen Software's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Newgen Software and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Newgen Software or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Newgen Software's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Newgen Software by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Newgen Software to competition
FundamentalsNewgen SoftwarePeer Average
Return On Equity0.25-0.31
Return On Asset0.12-0.14
Profit Margin0.21 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation150.17 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding139.92 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders64.10 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions11.51 %39.21 %
Price To Book12.31 X9.51 X
Price To Sales11.52 X11.42 X
Revenue12.44 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.58 B27.38 B
EBITDA3.36 B3.9 B
Net Income2.52 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents61.51 M2.7 B
Total Debt485.07 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share92.89 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.81 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share20.22 X3.12 X
Target Price1421.0
Number Of Employees3.89 K18.84 K
Beta1.25-0.15
Market Capitalization158.4 B19.03 B
Total Asset16.86 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings9.66 B9.33 B
Working Capital9.26 B1.48 B
Annual Yield0 %
Net Asset16.86 B

Newgen Software Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Newgen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Newgen Software Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Newgen Software Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as Newgen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Newgen Software in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Global Macro ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Global Macro ETFs
Global Macro ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Global Macro ETFs theme has 26 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Global Macro ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Other Information on Investing in Newgen Stock

Newgen Software financial ratios help investors to determine whether Newgen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Newgen with respect to the benefits of owning Newgen Software security.