Mesoblast Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MESO Stock | USD 11.69 0.11 0.95% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Mesoblast is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Mesoblast's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Mesoblast Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Mesoblast Stock, please use our How to Invest in Mesoblast guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Mesoblast and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Mesoblast. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Mesoblast |
Execute Mesoblast Buy or Sell Advice
The Mesoblast recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mesoblast. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mesoblast or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mesoblast's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Moderately volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Mesoblast Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Mesoblast is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Mesoblast appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.9 M. Net Loss for the year was (87.96 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (47.42 M). | |
| Mesoblast currently holds about 85.5 M in cash with (48.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.62. | |
| Mesoblast has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Mesoblast Shares Gap Down - Should You Sell - MarketBeat |
Mesoblast Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mesoblast's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mesoblast's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mesoblast daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mesoblast price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mesoblast returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mesoblast.
| Mean Return | 1.05 | Value At Risk | -5.76 | Potential Upside | 9.02 | Standard Deviation | 5.05 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mesoblast historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mesoblast Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Mesoblast, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mesoblast back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 40 K | Lpl Financial Corp | 2024-09-30 | 36.1 K | Xy Capital Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 29.9 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2024-09-30 | 20.4 K | Bank Of America Corp | 2024-06-30 | 20.1 K | Chapin Davis Inc | 2024-09-30 | 15 K | Rathbone Brothers Plc | 2024-06-30 | 14 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 13.5 K | Pine Valley Investments Ltd Liability Co | 2024-06-30 | 11.7 K | Group One Trading, Lp | 2024-06-30 | 227.8 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 167.2 K |
Mesoblast Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 78.9M | 7.6M | (76.4M) | 10.9M | (8.4M) | (7.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (58.6M) | (108.3M) | (66.0M) | (63.6M) | (48.8M) | (51.2M) | |
| Depreciation | 3.7M | 4.3M | 4.4M | 4.1M | 4.7M | 4.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 6.5M | (15.4M) | 11.0M | 13.5M | 31.8M | 33.4M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.2M | 1.6M | 232K | 314K | 271K | 257.5K | |
| Net Income | (77.9M) | (98.8M) | (91.3M) | (81.9M) | (88.0M) | (83.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 129.3M | 136.9M | 60.4M | 71.3M | 63.0M | 104.5M | |
| Change To Inventory | (12.5M) | 5.1M | (4.8M) | 398K | 358.2K | 376.1K | |
| Investments | (3.3M) | (1.6M) | (232K) | (194K) | (97K) | (101.9K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 4.6M | (3.7M) | 16.3M | 17.0M | 19.5M | 20.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.6M) | (2.9M) | (6.3M) | (2.7M) | (2.4M) | (2.3M) |
Mesoblast Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mesoblast or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mesoblast's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mesoblast stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Mesoblast Volatility Alert
Mesoblast shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mesoblast's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mesoblast's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mesoblast Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mesoblast's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mesoblast's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mesoblast and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mesoblast or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mesoblast's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mesoblast by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mesoblast to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mesoblast | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0541 | -0.14 |
| Operating Margin | (12.49) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.37 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 114.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.07 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.38 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.68 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (5.90) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.78 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 226.15 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 5.9 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (47.42 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (62.82 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (87.96 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 85.5 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.62 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 118.92 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.21 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.90 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.42 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (48.46 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.69 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.05) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 14.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 73 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.34 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.14 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 669.15 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (908.76 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 13.22 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 88.82 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 29.41 M | 7.9 B |
Mesoblast Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mesoblast . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Mesoblast Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Mesoblast? Buying financial instruments such as Mesoblast Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Mesoblast in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run FinTech Thematic Idea Now
FinTech
High long term potential financial entities that are ranging from payment processing, investment management to commercial and investment banking. The FinTech theme has 81 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize FinTech Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Mesoblast Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Mesoblast Stock, please use our How to Invest in Mesoblast guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mesoblast. If investors know Mesoblast will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mesoblast listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.05) | Revenue Per Share 0.06 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.41) | Return On Assets (0.05) | Return On Equity (0.18) |
The market value of Mesoblast is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mesoblast that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mesoblast's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mesoblast's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mesoblast's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mesoblast's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mesoblast's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mesoblast is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mesoblast's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.