Kar Auction Services Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

KAR Stock  USD 20.20  0.09  0.45%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding KAR Auction Services is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell KAR Auction Services given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards KAR Auction. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for KAR Auction Services, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out KAR Auction Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as KAR and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. KAR Auction Services. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

Execute KAR Auction Buy or Sell Advice

The KAR recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on KAR Auction Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in KAR Auction Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute KAR Auction's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell KAR AuctionBuy KAR Auction
Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon KAR Auction Services has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1006, Jensen Alpha of 0.0917, Total Risk Alpha of (0.11), Sortino Ratio of 0.0865 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1979
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on KAR Auction Services. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available today. To make sure KAR Auction Services is not overpriced, please verify all KAR Auction Services fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, working capital, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that KAR Auction Services has a price to earning of 116.25 X, we recommend you to check KAR Auction market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself for few more years given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

KAR Auction Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.65 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (154.1 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 685.1 M.
Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: OPENLANE Now Trades Above Golden Cross Time to Buy

KAR Auction Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of KAR Auction's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of KAR Auction's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of KAR Auction daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use KAR Auction Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of KAR Auction returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for KAR Auction.
Mean Return
0.27
Value At Risk
-2.01
Potential Upside
2.47
Standard Deviation
2.18
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of KAR Auction historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

KAR Stock Institutional Investors

The KAR Auction's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase KAR Auction's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Cadian Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
2.4 M
Paradice Investment Management Llc2024-09-30
2.3 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
1.8 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
1.8 M
Marathon Asset Mgmt Ltd2024-09-30
1.7 M
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.5 M
D. E. Shaw & Co Lp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
1.3 M
Deutsche Bank Ag2024-06-30
1.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
16.8 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
12.2 M
Note, although KAR Auction's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

KAR Auction Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash256.2M251.4M(596.5M)74.3M(118.8M)(112.9M)
Free Cash Flow380.4M283M304.7M(473.4M)183.4M187.8M
Depreciation188.7M191.3M183M100.2M101.5M149.0M
Other Non Cash Items131.7M95M41.9M(640.8M)327.5M343.9M
Capital Expenditures161.6M101.4M108.5M60.9M52M49.4M
Net Income188.5M500K66.5M241.2M(154.1M)(146.4M)
End Period Cash Flow560.9M812.3M215.8M277.7M158.9M288.6M
Change To Inventory(19.8M)27.1M(192.5M)68.6M78.9M82.8M
Investments(132.7M)170.6M16M2.1B132.2M77.6M
Change Receivables(3M)117.9M(94.1M)107.7M123.9M130.0M
Dividends Paid164.3M49M4.8M22.2M44.4M73.9M
Change To Netincome95.7M46.3M53.2M(666.5M)(599.9M)(569.9M)
Net Borrowings(816.8M)(48.9M)399.7M(1.4B)(1.3B)(1.2B)

KAR Auction Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to KAR Auction or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that KAR Auction's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a KAR stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.30
σ
Overall volatility
2.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

KAR Auction Volatility Alert

KAR Auction Services has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.6 and kurtosis of 12.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure KAR Auction's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact KAR Auction's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

KAR Auction Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing KAR Auction's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze KAR Auction's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between KAR Auction and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as KAR Auction or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of KAR Auction's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KAR Auction by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare KAR Auction to competition
FundamentalsKAR AuctionPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0369-0.31
Return On Asset0.0342-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.16 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.36 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding106.84 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.81 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.19 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.17 M4.71 M
Price To Earning116.25 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.63 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.28 X11.42 X
Revenue1.65 B9.43 B
Gross Profit685.1 M27.38 B
EBITDA110.8 M3.9 B
Net Income(154.1 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents225.7 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.95 X5.01 X
Total Debt427.4 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.26 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.13 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share12.42 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations235.4 M971.22 M
Short Ratio6.38 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.18 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.34 X4.89 X
Target Price21.5
Number Of Employees3.83 K18.84 K
Beta1.45-0.15
Market Capitalization2.16 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.73 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings624.4 M9.33 B
Working Capital363.1 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Brad Lakhia of 4985 shares of KAR Auction at 20.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

KAR Auction Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as KAR . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About KAR Auction Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell KAR Auction Services? Buying financial instruments such as KAR Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having KAR Auction in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Beer and Liquor
Beer and Liquor Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Beer and Liquor theme has 32 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Beer and Liquor Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for KAR Stock Analysis

When running KAR Auction's price analysis, check to measure KAR Auction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KAR Auction is operating at the current time. Most of KAR Auction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KAR Auction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KAR Auction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KAR Auction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.