St Joe Company Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

JOE Stock  USD 51.08  0.08  0.16%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding St Joe Company is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides St Joe buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding St Joe positions.
  
Check out St Joe Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as JOE and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. St Joe Company. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute St Joe Buy or Sell Advice

The JOE recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on St Joe Company. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in St Joe Company or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute St Joe's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell St JoeBuy St Joe
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon St Joe Company has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.10), Jensen Alpha of (0.33), Total Risk Alpha of (0.43) and Treynor Ratio of (0.20)
Our advice tool can be used to complement St Joe Company trade recommendation provided by experts. It analyzes the firm's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure St Joe Company is not overpriced, please validate all St Joe Company fundamentals, including its shares outstanding, gross profit, book value per share, as well as the relationship between the price to earning and cash per share . Given that St Joe Company has a price to earning of 43.49 X, we advise you to double-check St Joe market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself next year given your latest risk tolerance and investing horizon.

St Joe Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

St Joe Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
St Joe Company has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Rhea Goff of 2793 shares of St Joe subject to Rule 16b-3

St Joe Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of St Joe's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of St Joe's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of St Joe daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use St Joe Company price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of St Joe returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for St Joe.
Mean Return
-0.19
Value At Risk
-2.48
Potential Upside
1.98
Standard Deviation
1.40
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of St Joe historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

JOE Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Gabelli Funds Llc2024-09-30
684 K
Horizon Asset Management Inc/ny2024-09-30
523.8 K
Front Street Capital Management Inc2024-06-30
505.9 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
404.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
357.7 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-06-30
351.3 K
Diversified Investment Strategies, Llc2024-09-30
282.9 K
Schwartz Investment Counsel Inc2024-09-30
268.4 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
192.8 K
Fairholme Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
21.1 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
6.2 M
Note, although St Joe's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

St Joe Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(9.4M)(78.6M)(35.7M)(29.1M)45.5M47.7M
Free Cash Flow(43.8M)(84.4M)(41.7M)(210.9M)(36.1M)(34.3M)
Depreciation34.8M30.8M18.2M22.9M38.8M25.0M
Other Non Cash Items(44.1M)(41.2M)21.0M(67.4M)(11.2M)(11.7M)
Capital Expenditures74.2M121.8M153.5M259.2M140.0M147.0M
Net Income26.7M45.5M73.7M70.2M74.1M38.5M
End Period Cash Flow188.7M110.1M74.4M45.3M90.8M110.8M
Dividends Paid1.1M4.1M18.8M23.5M25.7M18.9M
Change To Netincome9.8M8.9M17.5M2.4M2.8M2.6M
Investments7M(47.9M)108.1M101.5M(132.1M)(125.5M)
Net Borrowings21.2M65.3M65.6M162.4M186.7M196.0M

St Joe Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to St Joe or Residential REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that St Joe's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a JOE stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.99
σ
Overall volatility
1.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

St Joe Volatility Alert

St Joe Company exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.02 and kurtosis of 4.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure St Joe's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact St Joe's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

St Joe Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing St Joe's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze St Joe's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between St Joe and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as St Joe or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of St Joe's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing St Joe by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare St Joe to competition
FundamentalsSt JoePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0932-0.31
Return On Asset0.0353-0.14
Profit Margin0.18 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation3.53 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding58.4 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.29 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions86.76 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted676.99 K4.71 M
Price To Earning43.49 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.16 X9.51 X
Price To Sales7.75 X11.42 X
Revenue389.29 M9.43 B
Gross Profit106.42 M27.38 B
EBITDA129.51 M3.9 B
Net Income74.05 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents37.75 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.59 X5.01 X
Total Debt632.89 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.78 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.49 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share12.27 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations103.85 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.56 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.17 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(2.72) X4.89 X
Target Price19.0
Number Of Employees81018.84 K
Beta1.27-0.15
Market Capitalization2.98 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.52 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings410.37 M9.33 B
Working Capital52.61 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Rhea Goff of 2793 shares of St Joe subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

St Joe Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as JOE . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About St Joe Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell St Joe Company? Buying financial instruments such as JOE Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having St Joe in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Alternative Energy Thematic Idea Now

Alternative Energy
Alternative Energy Theme
Large and mid-size companies, ETFs and funds that are either investing or directly involved in providing energy derived from sources not connected to fossil fuels, do not consume natural resources, and do not harm the environment. This includes wind power, nuclear and solar energy, biofuel, ethanol, hydrogen and others alternative sources of energy. The Alternative Energy theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Alternative Energy Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether St Joe Company is a strong investment it is important to analyze St Joe's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact St Joe's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding JOE Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out St Joe Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Multi-Family Residential REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of St Joe. If investors know JOE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about St Joe listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Dividend Share
0.5
Earnings Share
1.17
Revenue Per Share
6.603
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of St Joe Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JOE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of St Joe's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is St Joe's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because St Joe's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect St Joe's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between St Joe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if St Joe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, St Joe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.