Hercules Capital Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HTGC Stock  USD 18.89  0.07  0.37%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Hercules Capital is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Hercules Capital buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HTGC positions.
  
Check out Hercules Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Hercules Stock refer to our How to Trade Hercules Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Hercules and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Hercules Capital. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.

Execute Hercules Capital Buy or Sell Advice

The Hercules recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hercules Capital. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hercules Capital or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hercules Capital's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Hercules CapitalBuy Hercules Capital
Strong Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Hercules Capital has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0397, Jensen Alpha of (0.04), Total Risk Alpha of (0.12), Sortino Ratio of (0.08) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0575
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Hercules Capital and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Hercules Capital is not overpriced, please check out all Hercules Capital fundamentals, including its price to book, cash and equivalents, cash flow from operations, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and debt to equity . Given that Hercules Capital has a price to earning of 5.16 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Hercules Capital market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Hercules Capital Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

On 20th of November 2024 Hercules Capital paid $ 0.48 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Price Over Earnings Overview Hercules Capital

Hercules Capital Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Hercules Capital's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hercules Capital's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hercules Capital daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hercules Capital price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hercules Capital returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hercules Capital.
Mean Return
0.05
Value At Risk
-1.54
Potential Upside
1.56
Standard Deviation
1.03
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hercules Capital historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Hercules Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
651.9 K
Gilman Hill Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
597.7 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
457.7 K
Muzinich & Co Inc2024-09-30
408.4 K
International Assets Investment Management, Llc2024-09-30
407.1 K
Advisors Asset Management2024-09-30
407 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
404.1 K
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Group Inc2024-09-30
401.1 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
392.9 K
Van Eck Associates Corporation2024-06-30
2.8 M
Sound Income Strategies2024-09-30
2.7 M
Note, although Hercules Capital's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Hercules Capital Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash69.1M122.6M(101.4M)(110.4M)90.1M94.6M
Free Cash Flow(241.3M)207.7M128.5M(424.9M)67.4M70.8M
Depreciation262K415K317K204K190K215.7K
Other Non Cash Items(1.6M)(25.6M)(59.2M)(521.7M)(252.2M)(264.8M)
Capital Expenditures595K137K106K114K887K931.4K
Net Income173.6M227.3M174.2M102.1M337.5M354.4M
End Period Cash Flow115.0M237.6M136.3M25.9M116.0M105.4M
Dividends Paid132.1M152.4M175.5M245.1M273.7M287.4M
Change To Netincome(424.5M)(31.4M)(66.3M)10.8M9.7M10.2M
Net Borrowings322.5M(2.9M)(50.1M)343.0M394.5M414.2M
Investments(595K)(137K)(106K)(114K)(418K)(397.1K)

Hercules Capital Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hercules Capital or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hercules Capital's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hercules stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.70
σ
Overall volatility
1.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Hercules Capital Volatility Alert

Hercules Capital has low volatility with Treynor Ratio of 0.06, Maximum Drawdown of 5.01 and kurtosis of 1.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hercules Capital's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hercules Capital's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Hercules Capital Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Hercules Capital's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hercules Capital's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hercules Capital and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hercules Capital or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hercules Capital's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hercules Capital by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Hercules Capital to competition
FundamentalsHercules CapitalPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0741-0.14
Profit Margin0.65 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.84 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.74 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding162.45 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.82 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions26.92 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.67 M4.71 M
Price To Earning5.16 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.66 X9.51 X
Price To Sales6.21 X11.42 X
Revenue434.43 M9.43 B
Gross Profit321.69 M27.38 B
EBITDA405.29 M3.9 B
Net Income337.48 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents115.31 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.92 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.56 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.13 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.65 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share11.56 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations68.28 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.52 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.04 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.52 X4.89 X
Target Price20.64
Number Of Employees10018.84 K
Beta1.34-0.15
Market Capitalization3.07 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.42 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings140.01 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.10 %
Note: Disposition of 803 shares by Kiersten Botelho of Hercules Capital at 19.63 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Hercules Capital Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hercules . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Hercules Capital Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Hercules Capital? Buying financial instruments such as Hercules Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Hercules Capital in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Healthcare Funds Thematic Idea Now

Healthcare Funds
Healthcare Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in medical and healthcare goods or services as well as hospital management or maintenance organizations. The Healthcare Funds theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Healthcare Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Hercules Capital offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hercules Capital's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hercules Capital Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hercules Capital Stock:
Check out Hercules Capital Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Hercules Stock refer to our How to Trade Hercules Stock guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hercules Capital. If investors know Hercules will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hercules Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.261
Dividend Share
1.6
Earnings Share
2.04
Revenue Per Share
3.13
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.073
The market value of Hercules Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hercules that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hercules Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hercules Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hercules Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hercules Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hercules Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hercules Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hercules Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.