Empire State Realty Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ESRT Stock | USD 10.96 0.12 1.08% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Empire State Realty is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Empire State Realty given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Empire State. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Empire State Realty, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Empire State Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Empire and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Empire State Realty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Empire |
Execute Empire State Buy or Sell Advice
The Empire recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Empire State Realty. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Empire State Realty or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Empire State's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Empire State Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Empire State Realty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Segall Bryant Hamill LLC Sells 72,324 Shares of Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. - MarketBeat |
Empire State Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Empire State's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Empire State's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Empire State daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Empire State Realty price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Empire State returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Empire State.
| Mean Return | 0.06 | Value At Risk | -2.31 | Potential Upside | 2.21 | Standard Deviation | 1.32 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Empire State historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Empire Stock Institutional Investors
The Empire State's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Empire State's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Legal & General Group Plc | 2024-06-30 | 2.6 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 2 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 1.8 M | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-06-30 | 1.7 M | T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc. | 2024-09-30 | 1.7 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.6 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-06-30 | 1.5 M | Aew Capital Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 1.5 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 1.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 19.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 16.1 M |
Empire State Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 784K | 296.3M | (93.3M) | (160.0M) | 92.3M | 96.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 232.6M | 182.3M | 212.5M | 211.2M | 93.2M | 97.8M | |
| Depreciation | 181.6M | 191.0M | 209.6M | 216.9M | 189.9M | 140.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (12.2M) | 8.4M | (16.1M) | (45.7M) | 414.1M | 434.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | 76.9M | 41.4M | 22.3M | 27.3M | 26.9M | 44.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 250.3M | 143.1M | 212.7M | 126.3M | 139.3M | 190.1M | |
| Net Income | 84.3M | (22.9M) | (13.0M) | 63.2M | 53.2M | 55.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 271.6M | 567.9M | 474.6M | 314.7M | 407.0M | 266.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 800K | 26.5M | 7.1M | (5.2M) | (5.9M) | (6.2M) | |
| Investments | 400M | (143.1M) | (212.7M) | (230.9M) | (181.2M) | (190.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (1.3M) | 4.0M | 3.9M | 2.9M | 3.3M | 3.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | (253.8M) | 340.9M | (13.6M) | (7.5M) | (8.6M) | (8.2M) |
Empire State Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Empire State or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Empire State's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Empire stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Empire State Volatility Alert
Empire State Realty has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.12 and kurtosis of -0.49. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Empire State's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Empire State's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Empire State Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Empire State's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Empire State's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Empire State and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Empire State or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Empire State's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Empire State by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Empire State to competition |
| Fundamentals | Empire State | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0443 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0226 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.23 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.92 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 165.78 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.05 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 91.59 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.78 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 130.50 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.80 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.18 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 739.57 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 385.65 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 336.62 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 53.24 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 387.25 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.28 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.27 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.38 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 7.52 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.10 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 232.49 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.73 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.27 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 7.63 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 11.32 | |
| Number Of Employees | 666 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.42 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.19 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.22 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (83.11 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 532.45 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by R Hood of 13408 shares of Empire State subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Empire State Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Empire . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Empire State Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Empire State Realty? Buying financial instruments such as Empire Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Empire Stock Analysis
When running Empire State's price analysis, check to measure Empire State's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Empire State is operating at the current time. Most of Empire State's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Empire State's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Empire State's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Empire State to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.