Eros International (India) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

EROSMEDIA   15.47  0.26  1.65%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Eros International Media is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Eros International buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding EROSMEDIA positions.
  
Check out Eros International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Eros and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Eros International Media. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Eros International Buy or Sell Advice

The Eros recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Eros International Media. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Eros International Media or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Eros International's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Eros InternationalBuy Eros International
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Quite HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Eros International Media has a Mean Deviation of 2.02, Standard Deviation of 2.85 and Variance of 8.12
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Eros International Media and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Eros International is not overpriced, please confirm all Eros International Media fundamentals, including its gross profit, as well as the relationship between the cash flow from operations and market capitalization .

Eros International Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Eros International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Eros International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 6.81 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.17 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 223 M.
About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Eros International Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Eros International's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Eros International's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Eros International daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Eros International Media price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Eros International returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Eros International.
Mean Return
-0.22
Value At Risk
-5.03
Potential Upside
3.66
Standard Deviation
2.85
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Eros International historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Eros International Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory29.8M(84.6M)(933.5M)(900K)(810K)(850.5K)
Change In Cash46.1M154.9M(224.8M)876.9M1.0B1.1B
Free Cash Flow(263.2M)1.1B820M1.8B2.0B1.4B
Depreciation2.5B1.8B1.3B1.0B901.2M856.1M
Other Non Cash Items43.2M446.6M13.2M73.5M84.5M162.0M
Capital Expenditures771.5M1.8B336.5M10.2M9.2M8.7M
Net Income(16.2B)(1.7B)(11.5M)(1.2B)(1.0B)(996.6M)
End Period Cash Flow110.7M265.6M40.8M917.7M825.9M557.5M
Investments1.6B80.3M231.6M1.8B2.1B2.2B
Net Borrowings(871.7M)(477.4M)(747.3M)(2.7B)(2.5B)(2.3B)
Change To Netincome17.6B765.3M77.5M923.6M1.1B1.0B

Eros International Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Eros International or Entertainment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Eros International's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Eros stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
2.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Eros International Volatility Alert

Eros International Media exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.57 and kurtosis of 2.13. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Eros International's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Eros International's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Eros International Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Eros International's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Eros International's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Eros International and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Eros International or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Eros International's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eros International by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Eros International to competition
FundamentalsEros InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.13-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0345-0.14
Profit Margin(0.27) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(2.24) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.66 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding95.91 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders25.76 %10.09 %
Price To Book0.15 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.30 X11.42 X
Revenue6.81 B9.43 B
Gross Profit223 M27.38 B
EBITDA308.5 M3.9 B
Net Income(1.17 B)570.98 M
Total Debt1.9 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share90.70 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.79 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(20.97) X3.12 X
Target Price288.0
Number Of Employees12218.84 K
Beta1.08-0.15
Market Capitalization1.49 B19.03 B
Total Asset22.6 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.34 B9.33 B
Working Capital(1.05 B)1.48 B
Net Asset22.6 B

Eros International Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Eros . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Eros International Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Eros International Media? Buying financial instruments such as Eros Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Candy and Soda
Candy and Soda Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Eros Stock

Eros International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eros Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eros with respect to the benefits of owning Eros International security.