Dairy Farm (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| DFA1 Stock | EUR 2.28 0.02 0.87% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Dairy Farm International is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Dairy Farm buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding DFA1 positions.
Check out Dairy Farm Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Dairy and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Dairy Farm International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Dairy |
Execute Dairy Farm Buy or Sell Advice
The Dairy recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Dairy Farm International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Dairy Farm International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Dairy Farm's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Dairy Farm Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Dairy Farm appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Dairy Farm has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Dairy Farm International has accumulated 310.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 431.1, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Dairy Farm International has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dairy Farm until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dairy Farm's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dairy Farm International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dairy to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dairy Farm's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 78.0% of Dairy Farm shares are held by company insiders |
Dairy Farm Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Dairy Farm's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Dairy Farm's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Dairy Farm daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Dairy Farm International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Dairy Farm returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Dairy Farm.
| Mean Return | 0.56 | Value At Risk | -3.82 | Potential Upside | 6.56 | Standard Deviation | 4.04 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Dairy Farm historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Dairy Farm Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Dairy Farm or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Dairy Farm's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Dairy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Dairy Farm Volatility Alert
Dairy Farm International shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Dairy Farm's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Dairy Farm's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Dairy Farm Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Dairy Farm's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Dairy Farm's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Dairy Farm and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Dairy Farm or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Dairy Farm's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dairy Farm by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Dairy Farm to competition |
| Fundamentals | Dairy Farm | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0128 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0172 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.02 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.4 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.35 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 77.60 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 6.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Earning | 87.72 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.76 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.41 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 9.02 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.87 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.15 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 102.9 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 313.3 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.23 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 310.8 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 431.10 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.37 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.75 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 942.3 M | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.02 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 220 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.32 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.17 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.6 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 8.8 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.02 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.66 % | |
| Net Asset | 7.6 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.075 |
Dairy Farm Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Dairy . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Dairy Farm Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Dairy Farm International? Buying financial instruments such as Dairy Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Dairy Stock
Dairy Farm financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dairy Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dairy with respect to the benefits of owning Dairy Farm security.