Americas Car Mart Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CRMT Stock  USD 46.16  1.05  2.22%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Americas Car Mart is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Americas Car Mart given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Americas Car. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Americas Car Mart, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Americas Car Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Americas and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Americas Car Mart. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Americas Car Buy or Sell Advice

The Americas recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Americas Car Mart. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Americas Car Mart or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Americas Car's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Americas CarBuy Americas Car
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Americas Car Mart has a Mean Deviation of 2.31, Standard Deviation of 3.66 and Variance of 13.36
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement Americas Car trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Americas Car is not overpriced, please confirm all Americas Car Mart fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, target price, and the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that Americas Car Mart has a price to earning of 7.00 X, we suggest you to validate Americas Car Mart market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Americas Car Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Americas Car Mart generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Americas Car Mart has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.39 B. Net Loss for the year was (31.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 242.37 M.
Americas Car Mart currently holds about 4.36 M in cash with (73.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.69.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Americas Car-Mart Inc Trading 3.14 percent Higher on Nov 27

Americas Car Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Americas Car's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Americas Car's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Americas Car daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Americas Car Mart price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Americas Car returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Americas Car.
Mean Return
-0.36
Value At Risk
-4.57
Potential Upside
4.88
Standard Deviation
3.66
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Americas Car historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Americas Stock Institutional Investors

The Americas Car's institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Americas Car's securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
State Street Corp2024-06-30
178.2 K
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
140.6 K
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2024-09-30
122.5 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
96.3 K
Kennedy Capital Management Inc2024-09-30
88.7 K
Royce & Associates, Lp2024-09-30
87.7 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
76.4 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
76.2 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
70.2 K
Magnolia Group, Llc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
551.3 K
Note, although Americas Car's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Americas Car Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory53.8M5.0M50.9M130.9M139.2M146.1M
Change In Cash57.8M(56.7M)39.7M(17.1M)26.4M27.7M
Free Cash Flow15.5M(62.8M)(135.2M)(160.2M)(80.0M)(76.0M)
Depreciation3.8M3.7M4.0M5.6M6.9M7.2M
Other Non Cash Items180.4M183.0M265.3M363.8M463.8M486.9M
Capital Expenditures5.4M9.0M20.9M22.2M6.1M7.8M
Net Income51.3M104.1M93.3M20.4M(31.4M)(29.8M)
End Period Cash Flow59.6M2.9M42.6M25.4M94.4M99.2M
Change To Netincome162.2M176.6M287.4M367.4M422.5M443.6M
Change Receivables750K(269K)(1.6M)(1.2M)(1.1M)(1.0M)
Net Borrowings61.1M11.8M218.3M192.5M221.4M232.4M
Investments(4.6M)(8.3M)(1.3M)(25.3M)(10.6M)(10.1M)

Americas Car Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Americas Car or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Americas Car's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Americas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.08
σ
Overall volatility
3.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Americas Car Volatility Alert

Americas Car Mart exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.53 and kurtosis of 6.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Americas Car's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Americas Car's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Americas Car Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Americas Car's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Americas Car's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Americas Car and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Americas Car or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Americas Car's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Americas Car by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Americas Car to competition
FundamentalsAmericas CarPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0748-0.31
Return On Asset0.0095-0.14
Profit Margin(0.03) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.23 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding8.24 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.59 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions88.28 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted852.2 K4.71 M
Price To Earning7.00 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.81 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.28 X11.42 X
Revenue1.39 B9.43 B
Gross Profit242.37 M27.38 B
EBITDA32.08 M3.9 B
Net Income(31.39 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.36 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.69 X5.01 X
Total Debt818.7 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio16.86 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share73.64 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(73.9 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio9.86 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(5.72) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.58 X4.89 X
Target Price46.75
Number Of Employees2.28 K18.84 K
Beta1.67-0.15
Market Capitalization388.78 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.48 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings654.37 M9.33 B
Working Capital956.57 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Jamie Fischer of 5978 shares of Americas Car subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Americas Car Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Americas . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Americas Car Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Americas Car Mart? Buying financial instruments such as Americas Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Americas Car in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Large Blend Funds
Large Blend Funds Theme
Fund or Etfs that invest in stocks of large organizations that have characteristics of both growth and value companies. The Large Blend Funds theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Blend Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Americas Stock Analysis

When running Americas Car's price analysis, check to measure Americas Car's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Americas Car is operating at the current time. Most of Americas Car's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Americas Car's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Americas Car's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Americas Car to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.