Cepton Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| CPTNW Stock | USD 0.01 0.0005 5.81% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Cepton Inc is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Cepton Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Cepton Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Cepton Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Cepton and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Cepton Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Cepton |
Execute Cepton Buy or Sell Advice
The Cepton recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Cepton Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Cepton Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Cepton's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Cepton Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Cepton Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Cepton Inc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cepton Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Cepton Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 13.06 M. Net Loss for the year was (48.55 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Cepton Inc has accumulated about 16.1 M in cash with (35.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.45, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Cepton Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CEPTON INVESTOR ALERT by the Former Attorney General of Louisiana Kahn Swick Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Cepton, Inc. - CPTN - Marketscreener.com |
Cepton Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Cepton's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Cepton's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Cepton daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Cepton Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Cepton returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Cepton.
| Mean Return | 1.10 | Value At Risk | -18.9 | Potential Upside | 22.22 | Standard Deviation | 12.46 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Cepton historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Cepton Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (12.7M) | (26K) | (7.7M) | 30.9M | 18.5M | 19.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (17.7M) | (17.1M) | (37.0M) | (58.8M) | (36.8M) | (35.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 148K | 80K | 276K | 760K | 1.3M | 1.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 11.3M | 11.3M | 3.7M | 34.5M | 50.4M | 52.9M | |
| Net Income | (16.8M) | (19.6M) | (37.2M) | 9.4M | (48.5M) | (46.1M) |
Cepton Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Cepton or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Cepton's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Cepton stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.58 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 11.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Cepton Volatility Alert
Cepton Inc is showing large volatility of returns over the selected time horizon. Cepton Inc is a penny stock. Even though Cepton may be a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative instruments that are subject to artificial stock promotions. Please make sure you fully understand upside and downside scenarios of investing in Cepton Inc or similar risky assets. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings,sudden promotions and many other similar artificial hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check work history of company executives before investing in high-volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Cepton instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Cepton Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Cepton's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Cepton's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Cepton and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Cepton or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Cepton's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cepton by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Cepton to competition |
| Fundamentals | Cepton | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.45 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.27 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (1.43) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (20.00) % | (5.51) % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.96 K | 4.71 M |
| Revenue | 13.06 M | 9.43 B |
| EBITDA | (48.61 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (48.55 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 16.1 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.45 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 10.6 M | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 4.97 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (3.24) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (35.52 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.90) X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 87 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.082 | -0.15 |
| Total Asset | 76.45 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (134.6 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 56.58 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 76.45 M |
Note: Disposition of 10000 shares by Mark McCord of Cepton at 1.17 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Cepton Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Cepton . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 29.45 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.0 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0089 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0089 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 5.0E-4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.0E-4 |
About Cepton Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Cepton Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Cepton Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Cepton Stock Analysis
When running Cepton's price analysis, check to measure Cepton's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cepton is operating at the current time. Most of Cepton's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cepton's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cepton's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cepton to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.