Alior Bank (Poland) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ALR Stock   89.00  0.50  0.56%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alior Bank SA is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell Alior Bank SA within the specified time frame.
  
Check out Alior Bank Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alior and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alior Bank SA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

Execute Alior Bank Buy or Sell Advice

The Alior recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alior Bank SA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alior Bank SA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alior Bank's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alior BankBuy Alior Bank
Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alior Bank SA has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), Jensen Alpha of (0.06), Total Risk Alpha of (0.44) and Treynor Ratio of 15.92
Macroaxis provides advice on Alior Bank SA to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Alior Bank SA. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Alior Bank is not overpriced, please confirm all Alior Bank SA fundamentals, including its ebitda, and the relationship between the price to book and earnings per share .

Alior Bank Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alior Bank SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alior Bank Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alior Bank's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alior Bank's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alior Bank daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alior Bank SA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alior Bank returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alior Bank.
Mean Return
-0.05
Value At Risk
-3.15
Potential Upside
4.50
Standard Deviation
2.39
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alior Bank historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alior Bank Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alior Bank or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alior Bank's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alior stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.004
σ
Overall volatility
2.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Alior Bank Volatility Alert

Alior Bank SA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.8 and kurtosis of 0.96. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alior Bank's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alior Bank's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alior Bank Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alior Bank's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alior Bank's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alior Bank and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alior Bank or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alior Bank's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alior Bank by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alior Bank to competition
FundamentalsAlior BankPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0701-0.31
Return On Asset0.0052-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.28 %(5.51) %
Shares Outstanding130.55 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders31.90 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions41.67 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.84 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.41 X11.42 X
Revenue3.8 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.69 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.25 B3.9 B
Net Income779.21 M570.98 M
Book Value Per Share41.71 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations2.07 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share3.10 X3.12 X
Target Price38.86
Number Of Employees7.44 K18.84 K
Beta1.42-0.15
Market Capitalization5.16 B19.03 B
Total Asset83.05 B29.47 B
Net Asset83.05 B

Alior Bank Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alior . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alior Bank Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alior Bank SA? Buying financial instruments such as Alior Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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In addition to having Alior Bank in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additional Tools for Alior Stock Analysis

When running Alior Bank's price analysis, check to measure Alior Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alior Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Alior Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alior Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alior Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alior Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.