AGRANA Beteiligungs (Austria) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

AGR Stock  EUR 10.75  0.05  0.46%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your slightly conservative level of risk, our recommendation regarding AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of AGRANA Beteiligungs' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out AGRANA Beteiligungs Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AGRANA and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute AGRANA Beteiligungs Buy or Sell Advice

The AGRANA recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AGRANA Beteiligungs' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AGRANA BeteiligungsBuy AGRANA Beteiligungs
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft has a Mean Deviation of 1.09, Standard Deviation of 1.52 and Variance of 2.32
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on AGRANA Beteiligungs and to analyze the company potential to grow for few more years. To make sure AGRANA Beteiligungs is not overpriced, please confirm all AGRANA Beteiligungs fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the net income and earnings per share .

AGRANA Beteiligungs Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

AGRANA Beteiligungs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AGRANA Beteiligungs has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 2.9 B. Net Loss for the year was (12.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 833.45 M.
About 81.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

AGRANA Beteiligungs Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AGRANA Beteiligungs' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AGRANA Beteiligungs' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AGRANA Beteiligungs daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AGRANA Beteiligungs returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AGRANA Beteiligungs.
Mean Return
-0.12
Value At Risk
-2.29
Potential Upside
2.76
Standard Deviation
1.52
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AGRANA Beteiligungs historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AGRANA Beteiligungs Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AGRANA Beteiligungs or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AGRANA Beteiligungs' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AGRANA stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
1.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

AGRANA Beteiligungs Volatility Alert

AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.08 and kurtosis of 1.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AGRANA Beteiligungs' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AGRANA Beteiligungs' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

AGRANA Beteiligungs Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AGRANA Beteiligungs' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AGRANA Beteiligungs' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AGRANA Beteiligungs and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AGRANA Beteiligungs or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AGRANA Beteiligungs' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AGRANA Beteiligungs by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AGRANA Beteiligungs to competition
FundamentalsAGRANA BeteiligungsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0397-0.31
Return On Asset0.0289-0.14
Profit Margin(0.02) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.04 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.61 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding62.49 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders81.08 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions3.60 %39.21 %
Price To Earning19.04 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.78 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.28 X11.42 X
Revenue2.9 B9.43 B
Gross Profit833.45 M27.38 B
EBITDA194.13 M3.9 B
Net Income(12.61 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents87.6 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.38 X5.01 X
Total Debt355.05 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.37 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.25 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share19.09 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations53.23 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.15 X3.12 X
Target Price17.03
Number Of Employees8.86 K18.84 K
Beta0.68-0.15
Market Capitalization1.05 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.64 B29.47 B
Z Score2.28.72
Annual Yield0.04 %
Five Year Return4.83 %
Net Asset2.64 B
Last Dividend Paid0.75

AGRANA Beteiligungs Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AGRANA . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AGRANA Beteiligungs Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AGRANA Beteiligungs Aktiengesellschaft? Buying financial instruments such as AGRANA Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in AGRANA Stock

AGRANA Beteiligungs financial ratios help investors to determine whether AGRANA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AGRANA with respect to the benefits of owning AGRANA Beteiligungs security.