Federal Agricultural Mortgage Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGM-A Stock | USD 165.01 5.01 3.13% |
Assuming the 90 days horizon and complete risk avoidance on your part, our recommendation regarding Federal Agricultural Mortgage is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Federal Agricultural buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AGM-A positions.
Check out Federal Agricultural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Federal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Federal Agricultural Mortgage. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Federal |
Execute Federal Agricultural Buy or Sell Advice
The Federal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Federal Agricultural Mortgage. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Federal Agricultural Mortgage or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Federal Agricultural's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Out of control | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Federal Agricultural Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Federal Agricultural is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Federal Agricultural appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Acquisition by Junkins Lowell of tradable shares of Federal Agricultural at 191.22 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Federal Agricultural Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Federal Agricultural's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Federal Agricultural's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Federal Agricultural daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Federal Agricultural Mortgage price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Federal Agricultural returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Federal Agricultural.
| Mean Return | 0.36 | Value At Risk | -1.81 | Potential Upside | 3.43 | Standard Deviation | 1.92 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Federal Agricultural historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Federal Agricultural Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 179.1M | 429.6M | (125.2M) | (47.8M) | 27.7M | 30.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (19.7M) | (94.5M) | 436.4M | 809.3M | 375.8M | 394.6M | |
| Depreciation | (176.5M) | (219.2M) | 219.2M | 720K | (17.0M) | (16.2M) | |
| Net Income | 109.5M | 108.6M | 132.3M | 178.1M | 200.0M | 210.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 604.4M | 1.0B | 908.8M | 861.0M | 888.7M | 605.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 54.4M | 14.8M | 47.0M | 743.9M | 135.7M | 142.5M | |
| Dividends Paid | 43.9M | 50.6M | 61.3M | 68.2M | 74.8M | 78.6M | |
| Investments | (2.4B) | (1.7B) | (248.6M) | (3.0B) | (2.0B) | (1.9B) | |
| Change Receivables | (19.1M) | 11.2M | 6.9M | (62.7M) | (56.5M) | (53.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 2.8B | 2.7B | 475.8M | 2.2B | 2.0B | 1.9B | |
| Change To Netincome | 6.8M | (34.8M) | 268.5M | 17.8M | 20.5M | 19.5M |
Federal Agricultural Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Federal Agricultural or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Federal Agricultural's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Federal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 136.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Federal Agricultural Volatility Alert
Federal Agricultural Mortgage has relatively low volatility with skewness of 2.82 and kurtosis of 13.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Federal Agricultural's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Federal Agricultural's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Federal Agricultural Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Federal Agricultural's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Federal Agricultural's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Federal Agricultural and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Federal Agricultural or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Federal Agricultural's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Federal Agricultural by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Federal Agricultural to competition |
| Fundamentals | Federal Agricultural | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0067 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.57 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.73 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 30.13 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.03 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.90 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 51.46 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.46 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.73 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.71 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.70 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 349.21 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 305.24 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 225.49 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 200 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 849.68 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 78.93 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 27.69 B | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 1.17 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 96.57 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 375.8 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.03 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 15.54 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.34 X | 4.89 X |
| Number Of Employees | 185 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.06 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 244.97 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 29.52 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 823.72 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 3.19 % | |
| Net Asset | 29.52 B |
Note: Acquisition by Junkins Lowell of tradable shares of Federal Agricultural at 133.19 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Federal Agricultural Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Federal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 165.01 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 165.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.5 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.16 |
About Federal Agricultural Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Federal Agricultural Mortgage? Buying financial instruments such as Federal Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Federal Agricultural in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Adviser Favorites Thematic Idea Now
Adviser Favorites
Financial advisors frequently recommend that individuals diversify their investment portfolios with a mix of different types of stocks. These can include blue-chip stocks, growth stocks, and dividend stocks. The Adviser Favorites theme has 17 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Adviser Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Federal Agricultural Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.