Agarwal Industrial (India) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AGARIND Stock | 1,172 89.15 8.24% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Agarwal Industrial is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Agarwal Industrial buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AGARIND positions.
Check out Agarwal Industrial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Agarwal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Agarwal Industrial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
Agarwal |
Execute Agarwal Industrial Buy or Sell Advice
The Agarwal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Agarwal Industrial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Agarwal Industrial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Agarwal Industrial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Agarwal Industrial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Agarwal Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Agarwal Industrial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 70.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Agarwal Industrial Corporation Limited Expands Reach with New Mangalore Portand Acquisition - Marketscreener.com |
Agarwal Industrial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Agarwal Industrial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Agarwal Industrial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Agarwal Industrial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Agarwal Industrial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Agarwal Industrial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Agarwal Industrial.
| Mean Return | -0.12 | Value At Risk | -3.67 | Potential Upside | 4.21 | Standard Deviation | 2.37 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Agarwal Industrial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Agarwal Industrial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (3.7M) | (201.7M) | (169.6M) | (507.4M) | (116.6M) | (122.5M) | |
| Change In Cash | 24.8M | 228.5M | 144.6M | (170.7M) | 134.0M | 140.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (77.4M) | (14.2M) | (8.6M) | 79.7M | (1.6B) | (1.5B) | |
| Depreciation | 89.6M | 144.5M | 197.3M | 226.9M | 301.0M | 316.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 11.0M | 49.2M | 100.1M | (72.3M) | 706.9M | 742.3M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 572.1M | 466.1M | 655.4M | 1.5B | 2.7B | 2.8B | |
| Net Income | 310.9M | 486.9M | 775.3M | 1.1B | 1.1B | 1.1B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 47.8M | 276.3M | 463.8M | 293.1M | 427.0M | 448.4M | |
| Investments | 24.3M | 16.2M | (59.6M) | (1.6B) | (2.8B) | (2.6B) | |
| Net Borrowings | 179.8M | 312.7M | 82.9M | (163.3M) | (147.0M) | (139.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 111.4M | 76.8M | 130.8M | 238.5M | 274.3M | 288.0M |
Agarwal Industrial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Agarwal Industrial or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Agarwal Industrial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Agarwal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Agarwal Industrial Volatility Alert
Agarwal Industrial exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 1.07 and kurtosis of 2.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Agarwal Industrial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Agarwal Industrial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Agarwal Industrial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Agarwal Industrial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Agarwal Industrial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Agarwal Industrial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Agarwal Industrial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Agarwal Industrial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Agarwal Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Agarwal Industrial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Agarwal Industrial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.24 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0954 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 18.24 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 14.96 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 69.54 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.06 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 2.87 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.80 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 21.25 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.62 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.77 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.09 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 463.83 M | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 3.61 B | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 341.64 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.12 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 82.25 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 125.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 129 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.77 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.28 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 11.2 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 3.85 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 994.81 M | 1.48 B |
| Annual Yield | 0 % | |
| Net Asset | 11.2 B |
Agarwal Industrial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Agarwal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12423.73 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8651 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.08 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1128.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1142.88 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 7.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 87.8 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 89.15 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.12 |
About Agarwal Industrial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Agarwal Industrial? Buying financial instruments such as Agarwal Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Agarwal Stock
Agarwal Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Agarwal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Agarwal with respect to the benefits of owning Agarwal Industrial security.