Alaska Air (UK) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

0HC3 Stock   52.80  0.37  0.70%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Alaska Air Group is 'Buy'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Alaska Air Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Alaska Air. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Alaska Air Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Alaska Air Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alaska and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alaska Air Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Alaska Air Buy or Sell Advice

The Alaska recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alaska Air Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alaska Air Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alaska Air's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alaska AirBuy Alaska Air
Buy

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alaska Air Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.242, Jensen Alpha of 0.5296, Total Risk Alpha of 0.306, Sortino Ratio of 0.3164 and Treynor Ratio of 0.889
Our advice module provides unbiased investment recommendation that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Alaska Air Group. Our advice engine provides an advice for the firm potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Alaska Air is not overpriced, please confirm all Alaska Air Group fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, and the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Alaska Air Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds
Latest headline from news.google.com: Alaska Airlines Wins Best Inflight Food Beverage Award, Elevates Travel Dining Experience ALK Stock News - StockTitan

Alaska Air Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alaska Air's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alaska Air's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alaska Air daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alaska Air Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alaska Air returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alaska Air.
Mean Return
0.62
Value At Risk
-2.57
Potential Upside
4.41
Standard Deviation
2.01
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alaska Air historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alaska Air Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash118M1.2B(900M)(132M)(61M)(58.0M)
Free Cash Flow1.0B(456M)738M(253M)(444M)(421.8M)
Depreciation423M420M394M415M451M473.6M
Other Non Cash Items451M804M894M1.4B591M620.6M
Dividends Paid148M158M173M45M51.8M75.3M
Capital Expenditures696M222M292M1.7B1.5B1.6B
Net Income769M(1.3B)478M58M235M171.1M
End Period Cash Flow232M1.4B470M338M308M223.1M
Investments(136M)(644M)(706M)455M409.5M430.0M
Net Borrowings(608M)2.0B(971M)(385M)(442.8M)(420.6M)
Change To Netincome29M871M40M538M618.7M649.6M

Alaska Air Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alaska Air or Commercial Services & Supplies sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alaska Air's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alaska stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
2.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.25

Alaska Air Volatility Alert

Alaska Air Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.65 and kurtosis of 0.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alaska Air's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alaska Air's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alaska Air Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alaska Air's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alaska Air's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alaska Air and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alaska Air or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alaska Air's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alaska Air by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alaska Air to competition
FundamentalsAlaska AirPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0751-0.31
Return On Asset0.0286-0.14
Profit Margin0.03 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.34 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding123.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.45 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions88.11 %39.21 %
Price To Sales0.62 X11.42 X
Revenue10.43 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.36 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.27 B3.9 B
Net Income235 M570.98 M
Total Debt3.82 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share35.51 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.05 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share3.65 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees23.78 K18.84 K
Beta1.59-0.15
Market Capitalization664.76 B19.03 B
Total Asset15.83 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings4.54 B9.33 B
Net Asset15.83 B

Alaska Air Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alaska . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alaska Air Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alaska Air Group? Buying financial instruments such as Alaska Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Alaska Air in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Wholesale Thematic Idea Now

Wholesale
Wholesale Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Wholesale theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Wholesale Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Alaska Stock Analysis

When running Alaska Air's price analysis, check to measure Alaska Air's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alaska Air is operating at the current time. Most of Alaska Air's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alaska Air's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alaska Air's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alaska Air to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.