Zhihu Inc Adr Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.65
| ZH Stock | USD 3.54 0.08 2.21% |
Zhihu |
Zhihu Target Price Odds to finish below 3.65
The tendency of Zhihu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 3.65 after 90 days |
| 3.54 | 90 days | 3.65 | about 41.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhihu to stay under $ 3.65 after 90 days from now is about 41.03 (This Zhihu Inc ADR probability density function shows the probability of Zhihu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhihu Inc ADR price to stay between its current price of $ 3.54 and $ 3.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.76 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Zhihu Inc ADR has a beta of -0.87. This usually means Additionally Zhihu Inc ADR has an alpha of 0.1135, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Zhihu Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Zhihu
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhihu Inc ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Zhihu Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhihu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhihu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhihu Inc ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhihu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.87 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Zhihu Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhihu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhihu Inc ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Zhihu Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Zhihu Inc ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.2 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (839.53 M) with gross profit of 1.81 B. | |
| Zhihu Inc ADR reports about 4.53 B in cash with (415.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Zhihu Inc ADR has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Zhihu Inc. Sees Significant Drop in Short Interest |
Zhihu Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhihu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhihu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhihu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.5 B |
Zhihu Technical Analysis
Zhihu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhihu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhihu Inc ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhihu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Zhihu Predictive Forecast Models
Zhihu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhihu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhihu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.