Zhihu Inc Adr Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.08

ZH Stock  USD 3.71  0.11  3.06%   
Zhihu's future price is the expected price of Zhihu instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhihu Inc ADR performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhihu Backtesting, Zhihu Valuation, Zhihu Correlation, Zhihu Hype Analysis, Zhihu Volatility, Zhihu History as well as Zhihu Performance.
  
Please specify Zhihu's target price for which you would like Zhihu odds to be computed.

Zhihu Target Price Odds to finish below 3.08

The tendency of Zhihu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 3.08  or more in 90 days
 3.71 90 days 3.08 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhihu to drop to $ 3.08  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Zhihu Inc ADR probability density function shows the probability of Zhihu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhihu Inc ADR price to stay between $ 3.08  and its current price of $3.71 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.01 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Zhihu has a beta of 0.63. This usually means as returns on the market go up, Zhihu average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zhihu Inc ADR will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zhihu Inc ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Zhihu Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhihu

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhihu Inc ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.193.717.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.857.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.547.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.533.733.92
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhihu. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhihu's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhihu's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhihu Inc ADR.

Zhihu Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhihu is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhihu's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhihu Inc ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhihu within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Zhihu Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhihu for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhihu Inc ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhihu Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Zhihu Inc ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.2 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (839.53 M) with gross profit of 1.81 B.
Zhihu Inc ADR reports about 4.53 B in cash with (415.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Zhihu Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhihu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhihu's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhihu's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding99.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.5 B

Zhihu Technical Analysis

Zhihu's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhihu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhihu Inc ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhihu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhihu Predictive Forecast Models

Zhihu's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhihu's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhihu's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhihu Inc ADR

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhihu for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhihu Inc ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zhihu Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Zhihu Inc ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.2 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (839.53 M) with gross profit of 1.81 B.
Zhihu Inc ADR reports about 4.53 B in cash with (415.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 9.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Check out Zhihu Backtesting, Zhihu Valuation, Zhihu Correlation, Zhihu Hype Analysis, Zhihu Volatility, Zhihu History as well as Zhihu Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Is Business Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Zhihu. If investors know Zhihu will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Zhihu listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Zhihu Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Zhihu that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Zhihu's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Zhihu's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Zhihu's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Zhihu's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Zhihu's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Zhihu is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Zhihu's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.