Investec Global Franchise Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 17.64
| ZGFAX Fund | USD 17.69 0.12 0.67% |
Investec |
Investec Global Target Price Odds to finish over 17.64
The tendency of Investec Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 17.64 in 90 days |
| 17.69 | 90 days | 17.64 | about 46.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Investec Global to stay above $ 17.64 in 90 days from now is about 46.38 (This Investec Global Franchise probability density function shows the probability of Investec Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Investec Global Franchise price to stay between $ 17.64 and its current price of $17.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Investec Global Franchise has a beta of -0.0064. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Investec Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Investec Global Franchise is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Investec Global Franchise has an alpha of 0.0154, implying that it can generate a 0.0154 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Investec Global Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Investec Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investec Global Franchise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Investec Global Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Investec Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Investec Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Investec Global Franchise, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Investec Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0064 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Investec Global Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Investec Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Investec Global Franchise can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund keeps about 6.51% of its net assets in cash |
Investec Global Technical Analysis
Investec Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Investec Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Investec Global Franchise. In general, you should focus on analyzing Investec Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Investec Global Predictive Forecast Models
Investec Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Investec Global's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Investec Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Investec Global Franchise
Checking the ongoing alerts about Investec Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Investec Global Franchise help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund keeps about 6.51% of its net assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Investec Mutual Fund
Investec Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Investec Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Investec with respect to the benefits of owning Investec Global security.
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