Zacapa Resources Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0316

ZACAFDelisted Stock  USD 0.03  0.00  0.00%   
Zacapa Resources' future price is the expected price of Zacapa Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zacapa Resources performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
  
Please specify Zacapa Resources' target price for which you would like Zacapa Resources odds to be computed.

Zacapa Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0316

The tendency of Zacapa OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.03 
about 28.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zacapa Resources to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 28.5 (This Zacapa Resources probability density function shows the probability of Zacapa OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zacapa Resources price to stay between $ 0.03  and its current price of $0.0323 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Zacapa Resources has a beta of -0.55. This usually means as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Zacapa Resources are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Zacapa Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Zacapa Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Zacapa Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zacapa Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zacapa Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.030.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.030.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.040.040.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.030.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zacapa Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zacapa Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zacapa Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zacapa Resources.

Zacapa Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zacapa Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zacapa Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zacapa Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zacapa Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.84
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.55
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Zacapa Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zacapa Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zacapa Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zacapa Resources is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Zacapa Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Zacapa Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Zacapa Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Zacapa Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Zacapa Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Zacapa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Zacapa Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (3.78 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (32.58 K).
Zacapa Resources has accumulated about 511.29 K in cash with (4.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Zacapa Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zacapa OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zacapa Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zacapa Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.2 M

Zacapa Resources Technical Analysis

Zacapa Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zacapa OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zacapa Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zacapa OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zacapa Resources Predictive Forecast Models

Zacapa Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many Zacapa Resources' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zacapa Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zacapa Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zacapa Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zacapa Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Zacapa Resources is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Zacapa Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Zacapa Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has a current ratio of 0.9, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Zacapa Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Zacapa Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Zacapa Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Zacapa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Zacapa Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (3.78 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (32.58 K).
Zacapa Resources has accumulated about 511.29 K in cash with (4.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Note that the Zacapa Resources information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Zacapa Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Other Consideration for investing in Zacapa OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Zacapa Resources check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Zacapa Resources' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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