Yanaprima Hastapersada (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 356.0
| YPAS Stock | IDR 316.00 26.00 8.97% |
Yanaprima |
Yanaprima Hastapersada Target Price Odds to finish below 356.0
The tendency of Yanaprima Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 356.00 after 90 days |
| 316.00 | 90 days | 356.00 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yanaprima Hastapersada to stay under 356.00 after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Yanaprima Hastapersada Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Yanaprima Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yanaprima Hastapersada price to stay between its current price of 316.00 and 356.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yanaprima Hastapersada Tbk has a beta of -0.39. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yanaprima Hastapersada are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yanaprima Hastapersada Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yanaprima Hastapersada Tbk has an alpha of 0.2448, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Yanaprima Hastapersada Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yanaprima Hastapersada
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yanaprima Hastapersada. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yanaprima Hastapersada Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yanaprima Hastapersada is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yanaprima Hastapersada's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yanaprima Hastapersada Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yanaprima Hastapersada within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 32.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Yanaprima Hastapersada Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yanaprima Hastapersada for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yanaprima Hastapersada can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yanaprima Hastapersada had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 339.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.48 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.45 B. | |
| About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Yanaprima Hastapersada Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yanaprima Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yanaprima Hastapersada's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yanaprima Hastapersada's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 668 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 758.7 M |
Yanaprima Hastapersada Technical Analysis
Yanaprima Hastapersada's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yanaprima Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yanaprima Hastapersada Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yanaprima Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yanaprima Hastapersada Predictive Forecast Models
Yanaprima Hastapersada's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yanaprima Hastapersada's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yanaprima Hastapersada's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yanaprima Hastapersada
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yanaprima Hastapersada for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yanaprima Hastapersada help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yanaprima Hastapersada had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 339.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.48 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.45 B. | |
| About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Yanaprima Stock
Yanaprima Hastapersada financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yanaprima Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yanaprima with respect to the benefits of owning Yanaprima Hastapersada security.