Meridia Real (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01

YMRE Stock  EUR 0.87  0.00  0.00%   
Meridia Real's future price is the expected price of Meridia Real instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Meridia Real Estate performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Meridia Real Backtesting, Meridia Real Valuation, Meridia Real Correlation, Meridia Real Hype Analysis, Meridia Real Volatility, Meridia Real History as well as Meridia Real Performance.
  
Please specify Meridia Real's target price for which you would like Meridia Real odds to be computed.

Meridia Real Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01

The tendency of Meridia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.01  or more in 90 days
 0.87 90 days 0.01 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Meridia Real to drop to € 0.01  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Meridia Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Meridia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Meridia Real Estate price to stay between € 0.01  and its current price of €0.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Meridia Real Estate has a beta of -0.13. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Meridia Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Meridia Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Meridia Real Estate has an alpha of 0.1554, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Meridia Real Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Meridia Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meridia Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.871.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.711.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.861.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.850.860.86
Details

Meridia Real Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Meridia Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Meridia Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Meridia Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Meridia Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Meridia Real Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Meridia Real for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Meridia Real Estate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meridia Real Estate has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Meridia Real Estate has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Meridia Real Estate has accumulated about 13.77 M in cash with (26.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Roughly 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Meridia Real Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Meridia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Meridia Real's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meridia Real's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding122.5 M

Meridia Real Technical Analysis

Meridia Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Meridia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Meridia Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Meridia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Meridia Real Predictive Forecast Models

Meridia Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Meridia Real's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Meridia Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Meridia Real Estate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Meridia Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Meridia Real Estate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Meridia Real Estate has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Meridia Real Estate has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Meridia Real Estate has accumulated about 13.77 M in cash with (26.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11.
Roughly 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Meridia Stock

Meridia Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Meridia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Meridia with respect to the benefits of owning Meridia Real security.