Yatra Online (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 99.08

YATRA Stock   103.99  1.25  1.22%   
Yatra Online's future price is the expected price of Yatra Online instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yatra Online Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yatra Online Backtesting, Yatra Online Valuation, Yatra Online Correlation, Yatra Online Hype Analysis, Yatra Online Volatility, Yatra Online History as well as Yatra Online Performance.
To learn how to invest in Yatra Stock, please use our How to Invest in Yatra Online guide.
  
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Yatra Online Target Price Odds to finish below 99.08

The tendency of Yatra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  99.08  or more in 90 days
 103.99 90 days 99.08 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yatra Online to drop to  99.08  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Yatra Online Limited probability density function shows the probability of Yatra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yatra Online Limited price to stay between  99.08  and its current price of 103.99 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yatra Online has a beta of 0.51. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yatra Online average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yatra Online Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yatra Online Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Yatra Online Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yatra Online

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yatra Online Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
101.66103.81105.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78.9681.11114.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.9399.08101.23
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.480.630.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yatra Online. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yatra Online's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yatra Online's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yatra Online Limited.

Yatra Online Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yatra Online is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yatra Online's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yatra Online Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yatra Online within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
13.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Yatra Online Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yatra Online for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yatra Online Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yatra Online Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 4.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (45.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Yatra Online generates negative cash flow from operations
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Shareholders In Yatra Online Should Look Beyond Earnings For The Full Story - Simply Wall St

Yatra Online Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yatra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yatra Online's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yatra Online's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding136.4 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Yatra Online Technical Analysis

Yatra Online's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yatra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yatra Online Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yatra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yatra Online Predictive Forecast Models

Yatra Online's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yatra Online's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yatra Online's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yatra Online Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yatra Online for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yatra Online Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yatra Online Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 4.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (45.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Yatra Online generates negative cash flow from operations
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Shareholders In Yatra Online Should Look Beyond Earnings For The Full Story - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Yatra Stock

Yatra Online financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yatra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yatra with respect to the benefits of owning Yatra Online security.