Xinyi Glass Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 16.31

XYIGF Stock  USD 1.05  0.10  10.53%   
Xinyi Glass' future price is the expected price of Xinyi Glass instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xinyi Glass Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xinyi Glass Backtesting, Xinyi Glass Valuation, Xinyi Glass Correlation, Xinyi Glass Hype Analysis, Xinyi Glass Volatility, Xinyi Glass History as well as Xinyi Glass Performance.
  
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Xinyi Glass Target Price Odds to finish over 16.31

The tendency of Xinyi Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.31  or more in 90 days
 1.05 90 days 16.31 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xinyi Glass to move over $ 16.31  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Xinyi Glass Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Xinyi Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xinyi Glass Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 1.05  and $ 16.31  at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Xinyi Glass has a beta of 0.89. This entails Xinyi Glass Holdings market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Xinyi Glass is expected to follow. Additionally Xinyi Glass Holdings has an alpha of 0.354, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xinyi Glass Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xinyi Glass

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xinyi Glass Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.056.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.026.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Xinyi Glass. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Xinyi Glass' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Xinyi Glass' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Xinyi Glass Holdings.

Xinyi Glass Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xinyi Glass is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xinyi Glass' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xinyi Glass Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xinyi Glass within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Xinyi Glass Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xinyi Glass for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xinyi Glass Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xinyi Glass Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Xinyi Glass Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Xinyi Glass Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xinyi Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xinyi Glass' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xinyi Glass' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB

Xinyi Glass Technical Analysis

Xinyi Glass' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xinyi Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xinyi Glass Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xinyi Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xinyi Glass Predictive Forecast Models

Xinyi Glass' time-series forecasting models is one of many Xinyi Glass' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xinyi Glass' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Xinyi Glass Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xinyi Glass for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xinyi Glass Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xinyi Glass Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Xinyi Glass Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Xinyi Pink Sheet

Xinyi Glass financial ratios help investors to determine whether Xinyi Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Xinyi with respect to the benefits of owning Xinyi Glass security.