Xtra Energy Corp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.18

XTPT Stock  USD 0.23  0.01  4.17%   
Xtra Energy's future price is the expected price of Xtra Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Xtra Energy Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Xtra Energy Backtesting, Xtra Energy Valuation, Xtra Energy Correlation, Xtra Energy Hype Analysis, Xtra Energy Volatility, Xtra Energy History as well as Xtra Energy Performance.
  
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Xtra Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.18

The tendency of Xtra Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.18  in 90 days
 0.23 90 days 0.18 
about 11.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xtra Energy to stay above $ 0.18  in 90 days from now is about 11.13 (This Xtra Energy Corp probability density function shows the probability of Xtra Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xtra Energy Corp price to stay between $ 0.18  and its current price of $0.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.08 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.27 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Xtra Energy will likely underperform. Additionally Xtra Energy Corp has an alpha of 0.5224, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Xtra Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Xtra Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xtra Energy Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.247.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.177.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.237.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.120.180.24
Details

Xtra Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xtra Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xtra Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xtra Energy Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xtra Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Xtra Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xtra Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xtra Energy Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xtra Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Xtra Energy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Xtra Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Xtra Energy Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 559.33 K.
Xtra Energy Corp currently holds about 427.6 K in cash with (76.95 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Xtra Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xtra Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xtra Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xtra Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Short Long Term Debt350 K

Xtra Energy Technical Analysis

Xtra Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xtra Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xtra Energy Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xtra Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Xtra Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Xtra Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Xtra Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xtra Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Xtra Energy Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Xtra Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xtra Energy Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Xtra Energy Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Xtra Energy Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Xtra Energy Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Xtra Energy Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (1 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 559.33 K.
Xtra Energy Corp currently holds about 427.6 K in cash with (76.95 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Additional Tools for Xtra Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Xtra Energy's price analysis, check to measure Xtra Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xtra Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Xtra Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xtra Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xtra Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xtra Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.